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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-02 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,508.23 (+1.6%) | 5.9 | 0.9% | 59m | 5.7d ago · 71× | 13% ±46 | 18% ±17 | 55% ±22 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 6% ±13 | 12% ±46 | 69% | 81% | 2.0d | 0.44% | 0.23% | 14 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 6,489.31 (+1.3%) | 4.8 | 1.5% | 2h | 7.9d ago · 49× | 31% ±64 | 29% ±24 | 29% ±24 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 6% ±13 | 31% ±64 | 63% | 70% | 2.0d | 0.30% | 0.38% | 14 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 6,479.8 (+1.2%) | 4.2 | 3.7% | 6h | 5.9d ago · 78× | building | 28% ±23 | 33% ±24 | 39% ±25 | 15 | building | building | building | building | — | 0.19% | 0.35% | 7 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D POC · 14D POC | 6,455.54–6,459.74 (+0.8%) | 2.8 | 14.0% | 20h | 5.9d ago · 51× | 47% ±69 | 33% ±27 | 33% ±27 | 33% ±27 | 12 | 7% ±14 | 47% ±69 | 87% | 93% | 1.9d | 0.17% | 0.21% | 13 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,437.27–6,477.48 (+0.5%) | 1.8 | 4.2% | 6h | 5.9d ago · 65× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 6,417.83 (+0.2%) | 0.7 | 1.4% | 2h | 6.8d ago · 44× | building | building | building | building | building | 6 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,413.62–6,427.81 (+0.1%) | 0.5 | 1.7% | 2h | 21.7d ago · 30× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| at post · 6,405.62 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,378.14–6,392.34 (-0.2%) | 0.8 | 4.3% | 7h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 84% ±41 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 63% ±23 | 84% ±41 | 89% | 89% | 1h | 0.68% | 0.13% | 17 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,371.05 (-0.5%) | 2.0 | 4.0% | 6h | 6.9d ago · 41× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,354.49–6,361.59 (-0.7%) | 2.5 | 1.4% | 3h | 1.6d ago · 55× | 15% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 8% ±11 | 15% ±35 | 31% | 73% | 5.0d | — | — | 24 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 6,405.62 | 6,352.93 | 6,479.8 | expired | -0.47% |
| 14d | VAL | short | 6,405.62 | 6,403.85 | 6,459.74 | target | -0.47% |
| 30d | POC | short | 6,405.62 | 6,371.05 | 6,489.31 | target | -0.47% |