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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-02 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,971 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 6,508.23 (+1.9%) | 6.5 | 1.0% | 1h | 6.1d ago · 66× | 14% ±48 | 19% ±21 | 63% ±26 | 19% ±21 | 13 | 7% ±14 | 14% ±48 | 64% | 79% | 2.0d | 0.67% | 0.19% | 13 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 6,489.31–6,491.99 (+1.6%) | 5.5 | 1.6% | 3h | 6.0d ago · 71× | 31% ±64 | 23% ±19 | 41% ±22 | 36% ±22 | 19 | 8% ±15 | 29% ±63 | 58% | 68% | 2.0d | 0.29% | 0.31% | 12 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 6,454.34–6,459.74 (+1.0%) | 3.6 | 14.3% | 21h | 6.2d ago · 78× | 42% ±68 | 30% ±23 | 33% ±24 | 36% ±24 | 15 | 8% ±16 | 35% ±66 | 74% | 92% | 2.4d | 0.18% | 0.29% | 11 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,443.26 (+0.9%) | 3.0 | 8.8% | 13h | 7.0d ago · 49× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 6,437.27–6,475.12 (+0.8%) | 2.7 | 4.4% | 7h | 6.2d ago · 65× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | 8% ±17 | 36% ±67 | 92% | 92% | 1.9d | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,413.62–6,427.81 (+0.4%) | 1.4 | 1.7% | 3h | 22.0d ago · 30× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | 17% ±23 | 64% ±67 | 82% | 82% | 22h | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 6,404.68 (+0.3%) | 0.9 | 3.3% | 5h | 7.1d ago · 44× | building | building | building | building | building | 6 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| at post · 6,387.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 6,371.05 (-0.3%) | 0.9 | 4.9% | 7h | 7.2d ago · 41× | 14% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 14% ±20 | 14% ±48 | 14% | 14% | > 7d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,354.49–6,361.59 (-0.4%) | 1.4 | 1.8% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 55× | 16% ±41 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 11% ±15 | 16% ±41 | 32% | 79% | 4.9d | — | — | 17 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 6,387.7 | 6,457.38 | 6,349.76 | expired | +0.73% |