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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-03 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 6,505.12–6,508.23 (+1.1%) | 3.6 | 1.7% | 2h | 5.7d ago · 71× | 22% ±41 | 18% ±17 | 55% ±22 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 5% ±9 | 22% ±41 | 47% | 83% | 3.0d | 0.44% | 0.23% | 22 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,488.53–6,501.66 (+0.8%) | 2.7 | 1.8% | 3h | 21.7d ago · 30× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 30D VAH | 6,480.91–6,488.53 (+0.7%) | 2.3 | 4.0% | 6h | 5.9d ago · 78× | 48% ±44 | 29% ±23 | 31% ±23 | 40% ±25 | 15 | 17% ±14 | 48% ±44 | 79% ±56 | 90% | 1.0d | 0.24% | 0.36% | 28 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 6,456.8–6,460.8 (+0.4%) | 1.1 | 15.4% | 23h | 5.9d ago · 51× | 66% ±54 | 33% ±27 | 33% ±27 | 33% ±27 | 12 | 47% ±24 | 66% ±53 | 94% | 94% | 4h | 0.17% | 0.21% | 16 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,436.01–6,475.4 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 5.2% | 8h | 5.9d ago · 65× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 6,434.41 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 4.1% | 7h | 6.8d ago · 49× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| at post · 6,434.09 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 6,432.03 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.8% | 5h | 7.6d ago · 58× | 80% ±55 | 23% ±26 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 10 | 73% ±24 | 80% ±55 | 80% | 87% | 1h | 1.23% | 0.35% | 13 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,414.12–6,429.44 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.3% | 4h | 1.6d ago · 55× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 2 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 6,376.91–6,392.23 (-0.7%) | 2.1 | 5.8% | 10h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 43% ±69 | 36% ±28 | 36% ±28 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 21% ±22 | 42% ±68 | 50% | 64% | 6.9d | 0.72% | 0.18% | 13 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,376.91 (-0.9%) | 2.9 | 5.6% | 8h | 6.9d ago · 41× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | 17% ±23 | 17% ±52 | 17% | 17% | > 7d | — | — | 10 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 6,434.09 | 6,360.26 | 6,480.91 | expired | -0.71% |