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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-04 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,971 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,488.53–6,497.34 (+0.4%) | 1.4 | 1.9% | 3h | 6.1d ago · 66× | 49% ±49 | 24% ±22 | 45% ±26 | 30% ±24 | 14 | 25% ±17 | 49% ±49 | 65% | 90% | 2.0d | 0.47% | 0.29% | 24 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,488.53–6,501.66 (+0.4%) | 1.4 | 1.9% | 3h | 21.9d ago · 30× | 69% ±64 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 23% ±25 | 69% ±64 | 85% | 85% | 21h | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 7D VAH | 6,460.8–6,463.94 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 14.1% | 21h | 5.9d ago · 71× | 88% ±32 | 24% ±19 | 44% ±22 | 32% ±21 | 19 | 78% ±16 | 88% ±32 | 93% | 95% | 1h | 0.24% | 0.24% | 25 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,459.79 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 7D POC | 6,454.34–6,456.8 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 16.0% | 1.0d | 5.9d ago · 75× | 68% ±46 | 30% ±22 | 34% ±22 | 36% ±23 | 17 | 58% ±21 | 68% ±46 | 73% | 73% | 10h | 0.58% | 0.28% | 21 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,425.8 (-0.5%) | 1.6 | 3.0% | 4h | 7.9d ago · 58× | 40% ±68 | 23% ±26 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 10 | 19% ±20 | 37% ±67 | 37% | 66% | 4.0d | 1.23% | 0.35% | 14 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,376.91–6,392.23 (-1.0%) | 3.3 | 6.1% | 10h | 1.1d ago · 63× | 19% ±39 | 36% ±28 | 36% ±28 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 11% ±12 | 18% ±38 | 26% | 65% | 6.1d | 0.72% | 0.18% | 26 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 6,376.82–6,381.29 (-1.2%) | 3.8 | 6.6% | 10h | 7.1d ago · 67× | 13% ±25 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 7% ±8 | 13% ±25 | 22% ±57 | 41% | > 7d | 0.93% | 0.15% | 39 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,352.84–6,361.59 (-1.5%) | 4.7 | 2.0% | 4h | 1.1d ago · 55× | 15% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 10% ±14 | 15% ±40 | 25% | 45% | > 7d | — | — | 18 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 6,459.79 | 6,463.94 | 6,376.82 | target | +0.25% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 6,459.79 | 6,460.8 | 6,412.93 | target | +0.25% |
| 30d | POC | long | 6,459.79 | 6,488.53 | 6,381.29 | target | +0.25% |