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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-04 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 6,487.16–6,501.91 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 2.2% | 3h | 21.8d ago · 30× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | 33% ±29 | 82% ±53 | 92% | 92% | 21h | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,487.14–6,487.16 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 2.2% | 3h | 5.9d ago · 66× | 80% ±39 | 24% ±22 | 45% ±26 | 30% ±24 | 14 | 71% ±19 | 79% ±40 | 90% | 93% | 1h | 0.47% | 0.29% | 21 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,479.54 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,436.61–6,476.63 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 6.0% | 10h | 5.9d ago · 62× | 88% ±46 | 36% ±28 | 36% ±28 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 81% ±20 | 88% ±46 | 88% | 88% | 1h | 0.72% | 0.18% | 14 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 6,456.62–6,469.84 (-0.1%) | 0.5 | 8.5% | 12h | 5.7d ago · 75× | 65% ±42 | 27% ±21 | 39% ±23 | 34% ±23 | 17 | 57% ±17 | 65% ±42 | 73% ±61 | 74% | 1h | 0.54% | 0.22% | 32 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,432.92 (-0.7%) | 2.4 | 3.6% | 6h | 7.7d ago · 58× | 22% ±47 | 23% ±26 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 10 | 11% ±15 | 22% ±47 | 22% | 46% | > 7d | 1.23% | 0.35% | 17 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,383.95–6,384.2 (-1.5%) | 4.9 | 7.1% | 11h | 6.9d ago · 67× | 10% ±21 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 4% ±6 | 10% ±21 | 14% ±40 | 38% | > 7d | 0.93% | 0.15% | 47 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,352.35–6,362.88 (-1.8%) | 6.0 | 2.3% | 4h | 1.7d ago · 55× | 12% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 6% ±11 | 11% ±36 | 11% | 29% | > 7d | — | — | 16 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.