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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-05 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,507.48 (+0.5%) | 1.5 | 1.3% | 2h | 8.0d ago · 49× | 58% ±48 | 29% ±24 | 29% ±24 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 32% ±19 | 60% ±48 | 88% | 96% | 21h | 0.30% | 0.38% | 23 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 6,487.91 (+0.2%) | 0.6 | 3.5% | 5h | 6.0d ago · 66× | 81% ±39 | 19% ±21 | 63% ±26 | 19% ±21 | 13 | 67% ±18 | 81% ±38 | 89% | 93% | 1h | 0.67% | 0.19% | 25 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,475.87 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH · 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 6,451.42–6,465.54 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 11.1% | 16h | 5.8d ago · 75× | 66% ±41 | 27% ±21 | 39% ±23 | 34% ±23 | 17 | 56% ±17 | 65% ±42 | 74% ±61 | 75% | 1h | 0.54% | 0.22% | 32 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,436.29 (-0.6%) | 1.9 | 6.3% | 10h | 7.8d ago · 58× | 29% ±63 | 29% ±27 | 36% ±28 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 12% ±17 | 25% ±60 | 25% | 59% | 6.0d | 1.06% | 0.25% | 14 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,393.08 (-1.3%) | 3.9 | 5.7% | 9h | 7.0d ago · 41× | 14% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 12% ±17 | 12% ±46 | 12% | 12% | > 7d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 6,377.06–6,393.08 (-1.3%) | 3.9 | 5.7% | 9h | 6.0d ago · 62× | 15% ±35 | 36% ±28 | 36% ±28 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 11% ±12 | 14% ±34 | 22% | 63% | 6.1d | 0.72% | 0.18% | 26 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,376.07 (-1.5%) | 4.7 | 5.8% | 9h | 7.8d ago · 67× | 10% ±21 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 4% ±6 | 10% ±21 | 16% ±42 | 50% | > 7d | 0.93% | 0.15% | 48 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,354.18–6,361.04 (-1.8%) | 5.5 | 1.9% | 3h | 1.8d ago · 55× | 13% ±46 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 6% ±11 | 11% ±36 | 11% | 31% | > 7d | — | — | 16 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 6,475.87 | 6,459.52 | 6,497.2 | target | -0.10% |