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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-05 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,974 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0017), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 6,487.91–6,494.79 (+0.3%) | 1.0 | 3.1% | 5h | 1.3d ago · 72× | 67% ±38 | 21% ±18 | 46% ±22 | 32% ±20 | 20 | 42% ±16 | 69% ±37 | 82% ±53 | 94% | 11h | 0.40% | 0.29% | 36 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 6,469.84 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 9.6% | 13h | 6.4d ago · 78× | 94% ±26 | 30% ±22 | 30% ±22 | 40% ±23 | 17 | 83% ±18 | 94% ±26 | 94% | 94% | 1h | 0.26% | 0.35% | 16 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,469.13 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 6,459.52 (-0.1%) | 0.5 | 14.3% | 21h | 6.3d ago · 63× | 88% ±32 | 18% ±20 | 53% ±26 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 77% ±17 | 88% ±31 | 96% | 96% | 1h | 0.72% | 0.08% | 24 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 6,449.28 (-0.3%) | 1.1 | 13.2% | 20h | 6.2d ago · 48× | 50% ±57 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 43% ±29 | 11 | 42% ±21 | 54% ±49 | 54% | 54% | 1.0d | 0.72% | 0.23% | 22 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,436.29 (-0.5%) | 1.7 | 5.7% | 9h | 8.1d ago · 58× | 31% ±64 | 29% ±27 | 36% ±28 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 11% ±15 | 29% ±51 | 29% | 62% | 6.0d | 1.06% | 0.25% | 16 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,417.36 (-0.8%) | 2.7 | 2.6% | 3h | 8.1d ago · 67× | 16% ±32 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 6% ±9 | 16% ±32 | 29% ±63 | 53% | 7.0d | 0.93% | 0.15% | 29 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,379.24–6,392.58 (-1.2%) | 4.1 | 5.4% | 9h | 1.3d ago · 63× | 14% ±34 | 36% ±28 | 36% ±28 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 10% ±12 | 14% ±30 | 22% ±57 | 63% | 6.1d | 0.72% | 0.18% | 27 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,390.36 (-1.2%) | 4.2 | 6.6% | 10h | 7.4d ago · 41× | 7% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 6% ±13 | 6% ±34 | 6% | 6% | > 7d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,354.79–6,361.46 (-1.7%) | 5.7 | 1.8% | 3h | 1.4d ago · 55× | 12% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 5% ±11 | 11% ±35 | 11% | 30% | > 7d | — | — | 17 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.