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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-08 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 6,503.4 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 2.3% | 3h | 5.8d ago · 71× | 81% ±35 | 17% ±17 | 48% ±22 | 35% ±21 | 20 | 71% ±17 | 81% ±35 | 90% ±41 | 97% | 1h | 0.30% | 0.29% | 29 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,498.48 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,487.34–6,487.91 (-0.2%) | 0.6 | 3.3% | 5h | 14.0d ago · 40× | 72% ±51 | 8% ±17 | 46% ±31 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 61% ±24 | 72% ±51 | 78% | 83% | 1h | 0.49% | 0.48% | 16 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,436.37–6,483.56 (-0.2%) | 0.8 | 5.0% | 6h | 6.0d ago · 62× | 86% ±40 | 40% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 67% ±21 | 86% ±40 | 90% | 90% | 1h | 0.79% | 0.18% | 19 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 6,471.57 (-0.4%) | 1.5 | 10.7% | 14h | 8.0d ago · 75× | 50% ±49 | 29% ±21 | 43% ±23 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 27% ±18 | 50% ±49 | 62% | 69% | 1.0d | 0.58% | 0.25% | 24 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 6,459.52–6,459.97 (-0.6%) | 2.2 | 15.5% | 20h | 5.8d ago · 63× | 38% ±67 | 24% ±22 | 43% ±25 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 15% ±21 | 38% ±67 | 38% | 46% | > 7d | 0.67% | 0.14% | 11 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,436.29 (-1.0%) | 3.5 | 5.9% | 8h | 7.8d ago · 58× | 13% ±32 | 29% ±27 | 36% ±28 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 4% ±8 | 13% ±32 | 13% | 31% | > 7d | 1.06% | 0.25% | 22 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,415.6–6,424.25 (-1.1%) | 4.2 | 3.0% | 3h | 7.0d ago · 67× | 11% ±23 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 5% ±6 | 11% ±23 | 17% ±52 | 34% | > 7d | 0.93% | 0.15% | 42 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 6,498.48 | 6,550.1 | 6,459.52 | expired | -0.01% |
| 30d | VAH | long | 6,498.48 | 6,570.22 | 6,459.97 | expired | -0.01% |