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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-08 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 6,510.28 (+0.2%) | 0.9 | 0.7% | 47m | 5.8d ago · 71× | 73% ±33 | 17% ±17 | 48% ±22 | 35% ±21 | 20 | 57% ±15 | 74% ±33 | 88% ±45 | 98% | 1h | 0.30% | 0.29% | 40 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 6,496.78 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 3.1% | 5h | 8.0d ago · 49× | 93% ±35 | 33% ±24 | 28% ±23 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 80% ±22 | 93% ±35 | 93% | 93% | 1h | 0.33% | 0.47% | 13 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,495.03 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 6,494.79 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.9% | 5h | 14.0d ago · 40× | building | building | building | building | building | 7 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 6,436.37–6,483.56 (-0.2%) | 0.7 | 4.6% | 6h | 5.9d ago · 62× | 85% ±40 | 40% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 67% ±21 | 84% ±42 | 90% | 90% | 1h | 0.79% | 0.18% | 19 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 6,480.17 (-0.2%) | 0.9 | 6.1% | 8h | 5.9d ago · 63× | 78% ±36 | 17% ±19 | 56% ±25 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 69% ±17 | 78% ±36 | 87% ±46 | 87% | 1h | 0.72% | 0.09% | 30 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 6,471.57 (-0.4%) | 1.4 | 9.7% | 13h | 7.9d ago · 75× | 54% ±49 | 29% ±21 | 43% ±23 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 34% ±19 | 53% ±49 | 65% | 73% | 1.0d | 0.58% | 0.25% | 25 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 6,459.97 (-0.5%) | 2.1 | 14.2% | 19h | 5.8d ago · 48× | 38% ±67 | 33% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 14% ±20 | 38% ±67 | 38% | 46% | > 7d | 0.61% | 0.21% | 12 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 6,431.13–6,436.29 (-0.9%) | 3.6 | 5.3% | 8h | 7.7d ago · 67× | 12% ±24 | 18% ±23 | 50% ±30 | 32% ±28 | 11 | 4% ±6 | 11% ±24 | 19% ±54 | 42% | > 7d | 1.00% | 0.20% | 44 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,419.38 (-1.2%) | 4.6 | 2.6% | 3h | 7.0d ago · 41× | 9% ±33 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 4% ±9 | 9% ±28 | 9% | 9% | > 7d | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,415.6–6,417.49 (-1.2%) | 4.7 | 2.3% | 3h | 1.7d ago · 55× | 13% ±32 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 8% ±12 | 13% ±32 | 21% | 42% | > 7d | — | — | 22 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 6,495.03 | 6,459.97 | 6,510.71 | expired | -0.17% |