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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-12 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,974 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0017), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,594.22 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 0.9% | 1h | 1.3d ago · 72× | 84% ±32 | 18% ±16 | 52% ±21 | 30% ±19 | 22 | 75% ±15 | 84% ±29 | 92% ±37 | 95% | 1h | 0.43% | 0.25% | 33 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,590.72 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,581.7–6,586.71 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 4.2% | 5h | 1.3d ago · 63× | 90% ±33 | 38% ±26 | 38% ±26 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 81% ±18 | 90% ±33 | 90% | 90% | 1h | 0.72% | 0.18% | 19 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,586.04–6,586.69 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 4.2% | 5h | 6.3d ago · 75× | 82% ±38 | 23% ±19 | 50% ±23 | 28% ±21 | 18 | 72% ±17 | 83% ±33 | 91% ±39 | 91% | 1h | 0.58% | 0.17% | 27 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,544.15–6,576.69 (-0.2%) | 1.1 | 0.8% | 56m | 1.3d ago · 55× | 33% ±53 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 30% ±21 | 35% ±54 | 46% | 79% | 3.9d | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 6,511.6 (-1.2%) | 6.0 | 1.2% | 2h | 15.2d ago · 30× | 15% ±40 | 7% ±15 | 50% ±30 | 43% ±29 | 11 | 5% ±9 | 14% ±39 | 46% | 85% | 4.1d | 0.37% | 0.33% | 20 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,498.34 (-1.4%) | 6.9 | 3.6% | 6h | 8.1d ago · 67× | 9% ±21 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 4% ±6 | 9% ±19 | 18% ±43 | 48% | > 7d | 0.93% | 0.15% | 45 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,465.72 (-1.9%) | 9.4 | 7.7% | 10h | 8.1d ago · 58× | 8% ±22 | 29% ±27 | 36% ±28 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 3% ±5 | 8% ±22 | 17% ±52 | 23% | > 7d | 1.06% | 0.25% | 36 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 6,457.77 (-2.0%) | 10.0 | 10.0% | 15h | 6.1d ago · 48× | 12% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 3% ±6 | 11% ±25 | 36% ±67 | 67% | 5.9d | 0.61% | 0.21% | 34 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,411.46 (-2.7%) | 13 | 1.6% | 2h | 7.3d ago · 41× | 3% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±3 | 3% ±11 | 15% ±40 | 18% | > 7d | — | — | 61 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.