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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-15 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 6,615.54 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 6,600.94–6,601.62 (-0.2%) | 1.0 | 0.2% | 25m | 6.0d ago · 52× | 64% ±47 | 28% ±23 | 39% ±25 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 55% ±20 | 64% ±47 | 69% | 77% | 2h | 0.22% | 0.27% | 25 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,581.5–6,592.43 (-0.3%) | 1.6 | 3.7% | 4h | 6.0d ago · 62× | 52% ±49 | 35% ±25 | 41% ±26 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 35% ±20 | 52% ±49 | 57% | 62% | 1.0d | 0.68% | 0.14% | 21 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,584.96–6,585.54 (-0.5%) | 2.1 | 5.7% | 6h | 6.0d ago · 75× | 30% ±40 | 21% ±18 | 52% ±22 | 26% ±20 | 19 | 18% ±15 | 30% ±40 | 41% ±68 | 48% | 5.0d | 0.52% | 0.16% | 27 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,545.99–6,576.04 (-0.6%) | 2.8 | 0.9% | 52m | 1.8d ago · 55× | 18% ±38 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 11% ±12 | 18% ±38 | 32% | 70% | 4.9d | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| 30D VAH · 7D VAL | 6,507.19–6,513.21 (-1.5%) | 7.2 | 1.0% | 1h | 7.8d ago · 67× | 8% ±20 | 7% ±15 | 57% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 5% ±7 | 8% ±20 | 22% ±57 | 55% | 5.0d | 0.65% | 0.24% | 41 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAL | 6,470.84–6,473.61 (-2.1%) | 10.0 | 7.2% | 9h | 5.8d ago · 58× | 9% ±23 | 31% ±26 | 31% ±26 | 38% ±27 | 12 | 3% ±5 | 9% ±23 | 25% ±60 | 44% | 6.0d | 0.83% | 0.23% | 37 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,393.03 (-3.4%) | 16 | 1.6% | 2h | 7.0d ago · 41× | 5% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±5 | 5% ±14 | 17% ±43 | 21% | > 7d | — | — | 56 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 6,615.54 | 6,709.29 | 6,585.54 | expired | -0.12% |
| 14d | VAH | long | 6,615.54 | 6,746.32 | 6,584.96 | expired | -0.12% |