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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-16 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,626.99 (+0.3%) | 1.5 | 0.2% | 8m | 5.6d ago · 71× | 52% ±44 | 17% ±15 | 54% ±20 | 28% ±18 | 23 | 21% ±14 | 52% ±44 | 67% ±65 | 94% | 1.4d | 0.40% | 0.23% | 32 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,607.65 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 6,595.85–6,601.51 (-0.1%) | 0.5 | 0.6% | 45m | 1.6d ago · 55× | building | building | building | building | building | 7 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 6,581.69–6,590.18 (-0.3%) | 1.4 | 4.1% | 5h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 67% ±46 | 35% ±25 | 41% ±26 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 46% ±20 | 62% ±47 | 67% | 67% | 21h | 0.68% | 0.14% | 24 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,585.7–6,585.98 (-0.3%) | 1.7 | 4.6% | 5h | 5.8d ago · 75× | 40% ±43 | 21% ±18 | 52% ±22 | 26% ±20 | 19 | 22% ±15 | 38% ±42 | 50% ±69 | 56% | 2.6d | 0.52% | 0.16% | 29 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,536.33 (-1.1%) | 5.7 | 1.6% | 2h | 7.6d ago · 67× | 8% ±17 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 3% ±4 | 8% ±17 | 16% ±42 | 46% | > 7d | 0.93% | 0.15% | 60 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 6,513.74 (-1.4%) | 7.5 | 0.8% | 49m | 14.7d ago · 30× | 11% ±36 | 7% ±15 | 50% ±30 | 43% ±29 | 11 | 5% ±10 | 10% ±34 | 39% | 74% | 5.0d | 0.37% | 0.33% | 18 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,475.14 (-2.0%) | 11 | 6.0% | 8h | 7.6d ago · 58× | 7% ±19 | 29% ±27 | 36% ±28 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±5 | 7% ±19 | 19% ±55 | 28% | > 7d | 1.06% | 0.25% | 41 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 6,461.36 (-2.2%) | 12 | 6.2% | 9h | 5.6d ago · 48× | 13% ±29 | 33% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 6% ±8 | 12% ±28 | 34% ±66 | 53% | 7.0d | 0.61% | 0.21% | 32 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,375 (-3.5%) | 18 | 2.5% | 4h | 6.8d ago · 41× | 6% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 4% ±5 | 5% ±15 | 19% ±44 | 23% | > 7d | — | — | 53 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.