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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-16 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,626.99 (+0.2%) | 1.5 | 0.2% | 7m | 5.6d ago · 71× | 52% ±44 | 17% ±15 | 54% ±20 | 28% ±18 | 23 | 20% ±14 | 52% ±40 | 67% ±65 | 94% | 1.4d | 0.40% | 0.23% | 33 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,610.68 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,607.17–6,610 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.8% | 4h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 90% ±33 | 35% ±25 | 41% ±26 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 86% ±16 | 90% ±33 | 90% | 90% | 1h | 0.68% | 0.14% | 19 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 6,586.02–6,587.08 (-0.4%) | 2.2 | 3.8% | 4h | 5.8d ago · 75× | 25% ±38 | 21% ±18 | 52% ±22 | 26% ±20 | 19 | 15% ±13 | 24% ±37 | 31% ±64 | 41% | > 7d | 0.52% | 0.16% | 29 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,544.88–6,576.03 (-0.5%) | 3.3 | 0.6% | 31m | 1.6d ago · 55× | 16% ±32 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 9% ±10 | 16% ±32 | 29% ±63 | 68% | 5.9d | — | — | 30 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 6,574.4 (-0.5%) | 3.4 | 0.4% | 21m | 7.6d ago · 67× | 11% ±24 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 5% ±6 | 11% ±24 | 25% ±60 | 41% | > 7d | 0.93% | 0.15% | 42 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 6,513.74 (-1.5%) | 9.2 | 0.6% | 35m | 14.7d ago · 30× | 25% ±60 | 7% ±15 | 50% ±30 | 43% ±29 | 11 | 14% ±20 | 22% ±58 | 62% | 62% | 2.1d | 0.37% | 0.33% | 12 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,484.28 (-1.9%) | 12 | 3.5% | 5h | 7.6d ago · 58× | 7% ±19 | 29% ±27 | 36% ±28 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±5 | 7% ±19 | 27% ±62 | 38% | > 7d | 1.06% | 0.25% | 41 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 6,461.36 (-2.3%) | 14 | 5.1% | 7h | 5.6d ago · 48× | 17% ±37 | 33% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 8% ±11 | 16% ±36 | 47% | 72% | 3.9d | 0.61% | 0.21% | 24 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,372.17 (-3.6%) | 23 | 2.2% | 3h | 6.9d ago · 41× | 8% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 5% ±7 | 8% ±21 | 27% ±61 | 27% | > 7d | — | — | 38 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.