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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-17 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 6,626.99 (+0.4%) | 2.7 | 0.2% | 7m | 5.8d ago · 66× | 30% ±40 | 20% ±19 | 60% ±23 | 20% ±19 | 17 | 6% ±9 | 29% ±40 | 52% ±69 | 93% | 2.2d | 0.55% | 0.19% | 30 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,620.35 (+0.3%) | 2.0 | 0.7% | 28m | 5.6d ago · 71× | 50% ±44 | 15% ±15 | 50% ±20 | 35% ±19 | 23 | 9% ±10 | 48% ±44 | 62% ±67 | 97% | 1.9d | 0.29% | 0.26% | 30 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 6,612.05 (+0.2%) | 1.2 | 4.0% | 6h | 5.9d ago · 78× | 74% ±50 | 29% ±21 | 33% ±22 | 38% ±22 | 18 | 58% ±23 | 74% ±50 | 95% | 95% | 3h | 0.22% | 0.34% | 17 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,604.34–6,615.67 (+0.1%) | 0.5 | 2.4% | 4h | 5.9d ago · 65× | building | building | building | building | building | 6 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| at post · 6,599.16 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,581.69–6,590.18 (-0.1%) | 0.9 | 3.3% | 4h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 79% ±40 | 35% ±25 | 41% ±26 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 63% ±18 | 77% ±37 | 81% ±55 | 81% | 1h | 0.68% | 0.14% | 28 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAL | 6,581.62–6,585.88 (-0.2%) | 1.3 | 3.7% | 4h | 5.8d ago · 67× | 55% ±44 | 12% ±15 | 62% ±23 | 26% ±21 | 17 | 44% ±17 | 53% ±40 | 67% ±65 | 69% | 23h | 0.64% | 0.11% | 33 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,544.88–6,576.03 (-0.4%) | 2.2 | 0.5% | 30m | 1.6d ago · 55× | 17% ±33 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 10% ±11 | 17% ±33 | 31% ±64 | 71% | 4.9d | — | — | 28 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 6,513.74 (-1.3%) | 8.2 | 0.6% | 34m | 14.7d ago · 30× | 17% ±42 | 7% ±15 | 50% ±30 | 43% ±29 | 11 | 10% ±14 | 15% ±41 | 48% | 65% | 5.0d | 0.37% | 0.33% | 18 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,489.96 (-1.7%) | 10 | 2.8% | 5h | 7.6d ago · 58× | 7% ±19 | 29% ±27 | 36% ±28 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±4 | 7% ±19 | 19% ±54 | 27% | > 7d | 1.06% | 0.25% | 43 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 6,461.36 (-2.1%) | 13 | 4.9% | 7h | 5.6d ago · 48× | 15% ±35 | 33% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 7% ±10 | 14% ±30 | 42% ±68 | 62% | 4.0d | 0.61% | 0.21% | 27 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,366.51 (-3.5%) | 22 | 1.6% | 3h | 6.9d ago · 41× | 8% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 5% ±7 | 7% ±19 | 25% ±60 | 25% | > 7d | — | — | 40 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.