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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-17 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 6,626.99 (+0.5%) | 3.2 | 0.2% | 7m | 5.8d ago · 66× | 14% ±30 | 20% ±19 | 60% ±23 | 20% ±19 | 17 | 3% ±7 | 14% ±30 | 48% ±69 | 93% | 3.0d | 0.55% | 0.19% | 28 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,618.14 (+0.4%) | 2.3 | 1.4% | 1h | 5.6d ago · 71× | 45% ±44 | 15% ±15 | 50% ±20 | 35% ±19 | 23 | 6% ±9 | 43% ±43 | 62% ±67 | 97% | 1.9d | 0.29% | 0.26% | 29 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 6,612.05 (+0.3%) | 1.7 | 4.0% | 6h | 5.8d ago · 78× | 56% ±69 | 29% ±21 | 33% ±22 | 38% ±22 | 18 | 29% ±23 | 55% ±56 | 94% | 94% | 23h | 0.22% | 0.34% | 15 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,604.34–6,615.67 (+0.2%) | 1.0 | 2.7% | 4h | 5.8d ago · 65× | 64% ±66 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 47% ±27 | 67% ±65 | 93% | 93% | 21h | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| at post · 6,594.43 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,581.69–6,593.01 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.6% | 3h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 86% ±39 | 35% ±25 | 41% ±26 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 83% ±16 | 88% ±32 | 92% | 92% | 1h | 0.68% | 0.14% | 22 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAL | 6,584.94–6,585.88 (-0.1%) | 0.8 | 3.7% | 4h | 5.8d ago · 67× | 74% ±35 | 12% ±15 | 62% ±23 | 26% ±21 | 17 | 66% ±15 | 73% ±36 | 82% ±53 | 84% | 1h | 0.64% | 0.11% | 38 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,544.88–6,576.03 (-0.3%) | 1.8 | 0.5% | 29m | 1.6d ago · 55× | 17% ±33 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 13% ±13 | 17% ±33 | 31% ±64 | 72% | 4.9d | — | — | 28 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 6,519.4 (-1.1%) | 7.3 | 0.7% | 48m | 14.7d ago · 30× | 9% ±28 | 7% ±15 | 50% ±30 | 43% ±29 | 11 | 4% ±8 | 8% ±27 | 32% | 71% | 5.2d | 0.37% | 0.33% | 23 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,494.17 (-1.5%) | 9.8 | 3.1% | 5h | 7.6d ago · 58× | 7% ±19 | 29% ±27 | 36% ±28 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±4 | 7% ±19 | 16% ±51 | 22% | > 7d | 1.06% | 0.25% | 43 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 6,461.36 (-2.0%) | 13 | 4.9% | 7h | 5.6d ago · 48× | 13% ±30 | 33% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 6% ±9 | 13% ±29 | 38% ±67 | 56% | 5.9d | 0.61% | 0.21% | 30 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,360.85 (-3.5%) | 23 | 0.6% | 1h | 6.8d ago · 41× | 8% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 5% ±7 | 7% ±19 | 26% ±61 | 26% | > 7d | — | — | 40 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.