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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-18 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,974 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0017), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 6,652.62 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 6,628.45 (-0.4%) | 1.5 | 0.2% | 19m | 14.4d ago · 40× | 44% ±69 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 31% ±24 | 44% ±69 | 50% | 63% | 3.9d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| 7D VAH · 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,610.64–6,617.75 (-0.5%) | 2.1 | 3.0% | 4h | 1.4d ago · 75× | 24% ±37 | 23% ±19 | 49% ±22 | 28% ±20 | 19 | 16% ±13 | 26% ±38 | 43% ±69 | 50% | 5.0d | 0.45% | 0.19% | 31 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,600.95–6,616.44 (-0.5%) | 2.2 | 4.0% | 5h | 1.3d ago · 63× | 26% ±43 | 33% ±24 | 39% ±25 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 13% ±14 | 26% ±43 | 43% | 52% | 7.0d | 0.63% | 0.18% | 21 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,587.01 (-1.0%) | 4.0 | 6.1% | 8h | 8.1d ago · 67× | 9% ±19 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 4% ±5 | 9% ±19 | 21% ±46 | 40% | > 7d | 0.93% | 0.15% | 51 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,545.2–6,576.17 (-1.1%) | 4.6 | 1.3% | 1h | 1.4d ago · 55× | 9% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 6% ±9 | 9% ±26 | 25% ±60 | 44% | > 7d | — | — | 30 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 6,535.9 (-1.8%) | 7.0 | 1.8% | 2h | 15.3d ago · 30× | 8% ±26 | 7% ±15 | 50% ±30 | 43% ±29 | 11 | 4% ±7 | 7% ±25 | 32% | 70% | 5.2d | 0.37% | 0.33% | 26 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,500.58 (-2.3%) | 9.2 | 4.1% | 6h | 8.1d ago · 58× | 7% ±19 | 29% ±27 | 36% ±28 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±4 | 7% ±18 | 14% ±47 | 19% | > 7d | 1.06% | 0.25% | 44 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 6,463.11 (-2.8%) | 11 | 7.2% | 10h | 6.2d ago · 48× | 11% ±25 | 33% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 5% ±7 | 11% ±25 | 31% ±64 | 49% | > 7d | 0.61% | 0.21% | 36 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,359.35 (-4.4%) | 18 | 0.8% | 1h | 7.4d ago · 41× | 5% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±5 | 5% ±14 | 17% ±43 | 21% | > 7d | — | — | 58 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 6,652.62 | 6,683.36 | 6,611.09 | expired | -0.11% |
| 14d | VAH | long | 6,652.62 | 6,780.49 | 6,610.64 | expired | -0.11% |