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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-18 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 6,641.88 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 6,622.38–6,641.15 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 1.0% | 1h | 1.8d ago · 55× | building | building | building | building | building | 8 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 6,627.01 (-0.2%) | 0.9 | 0.3% | 25m | 14.0d ago · 40× | 71% ±52 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 61% ±24 | 72% ±51 | 72% | 83% | 2h | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| 7D VAH · 7D POC | 6,611.9–6,617.71 (-0.4%) | 1.5 | 2.8% | 3h | 6.0d ago · 75× | 36% ±42 | 27% ±20 | 44% ±22 | 29% ±20 | 19 | 24% ±15 | 35% ±42 | 52% ±69 | 60% | 2.6d | 0.44% | 0.24% | 30 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,600.47–6,616.12 (-0.4%) | 1.6 | 3.9% | 5h | 6.0d ago · 62× | 46% ±49 | 33% ±24 | 39% ±25 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 33% ±18 | 48% ±49 | 63% | 66% | 1.0d | 0.63% | 0.18% | 26 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D POC | 6,585.51–6,587.07 (-0.8%) | 3.4 | 6.0% | 7h | 6.0d ago · 67× | 12% ±24 | 12% ±15 | 62% ±23 | 26% ±21 | 17 | 6% ±7 | 13% ±25 | 25% ±60 | 41% | > 7d | 0.64% | 0.11% | 43 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 6,547.27 (-1.4%) | 5.8 | 0.8% | 1h | 14.9d ago · 30× | 12% ±31 | 7% ±15 | 50% ±30 | 43% ±29 | 11 | 4% ±7 | 11% ±31 | 31% | 68% | 5.2d | 0.37% | 0.33% | 26 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,499.31 (-2.1%) | 8.8 | 4.1% | 7h | 7.8d ago · 58× | 7% ±18 | 29% ±27 | 36% ±28 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±4 | 6% ±17 | 13% ±38 | 19% | > 7d | 1.06% | 0.25% | 45 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 6,461.21 (-2.7%) | 11 | 7.3% | 11h | 5.8d ago · 48× | 8% ±22 | 33% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 3% ±5 | 8% ±22 | 28% ±62 | 49% | > 7d | 0.61% | 0.21% | 37 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,350.12 (-4.4%) | 18 | 0.3% | 22m | 7.0d ago · 41× | 5% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±5 | 5% ±13 | 17% ±43 | 21% | > 7d | — | — | 59 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.