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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-19 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 6,656.8 (+0.2%) | 0.7 | 0.2% | 19m | 5.8d ago · 66× | 79% ±32 | 24% ±20 | 57% ±23 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 62% ±16 | 79% ±32 | 90% ±42 | 95% | 1h | 0.61% | 0.20% | 37 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,645.57 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 6,625.51–6,628.64 (-0.3%) | 1.0 | 0.9% | 56m | 1.6d ago · 55× | 45% ±56 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 43% ±21 | 48% ±49 | 57% | 83% | 1.0d | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| 7D VAH · 7D POC | 6,611.9–6,618.77 (-0.4%) | 1.6 | 2.3% | 3h | 5.8d ago · 75× | 30% ±40 | 27% ±20 | 44% ±22 | 29% ±20 | 19 | 20% ±14 | 28% ±39 | 46% ±69 | 55% | 3.9d | 0.44% | 0.24% | 31 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,600.47–6,616.12 (-0.4%) | 1.7 | 4.1% | 5h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 42% ±48 | 37% ±24 | 37% ±24 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 27% ±18 | 39% ±48 | 56% | 61% | 2.0d | 0.68% | 0.18% | 24 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D POC · 30D VAH | 6,581.69–6,586.01 (-0.9%) | 3.5 | 6.1% | 8h | 5.8d ago · 67× | 12% ±22 | 14% ±16 | 56% ±23 | 30% ±21 | 18 | 5% ±6 | 11% ±22 | 25% ±49 | 46% | 5.0d | 0.65% | 0.19% | 48 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,522.72 (-1.8%) | 7.3 | 1.2% | 1h | 7.6d ago · 58× | 7% ±18 | 29% ±27 | 36% ±28 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±4 | 6% ±17 | 13% ±38 | 18% | > 7d | 1.06% | 0.25% | 46 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 6,461.21 (-2.8%) | 11 | 7.6% | 11h | 5.7d ago · 48× | 8% ±22 | 33% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 3% ±5 | 8% ±21 | 27% ±62 | 47% | > 7d | 0.61% | 0.21% | 38 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,343.86 (-4.5%) | 18 | 0.1% | 7m | 6.9d ago · 41× | 5% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±4 | 5% ±13 | 17% ±42 | 21% | > 7d | — | — | 60 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.