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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-19 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,971 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 6,656.8 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 0.4% | 33m | 6.1d ago · 66× | 83% ±33 | 24% ±20 | 57% ±23 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 77% ±15 | 84% ±32 | 90% ±41 | 94% | 1h | 0.61% | 0.20% | 29 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,651.13 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 6,630.39 (-0.3%) | 1.2 | 1.6% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 53× | 52% ±49 | 26% ±22 | 42% ±24 | 32% ±23 | 16 | 40% ±20 | 49% ±49 | 59% | 64% | 2.0d | 0.29% | 0.24% | 23 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,623.35–6,626.39 (-0.4%) | 1.5 | 0.8% | 44m | 1.2d ago · 55× | 27% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 22% ±16 | 30% ±45 | 44% | 81% | 3.9d | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 6,602.06–6,617.27 (-0.5%) | 2.0 | 3.4% | 4h | 1.2d ago · 63× | 29% ±51 | 37% ±24 | 37% ±24 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 13% ±15 | 27% ±44 | 48% | 53% | 7.0d | 0.68% | 0.18% | 21 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 6,611.9–6,611.9 (-0.6%) | 2.3 | 7.0% | 9h | 6.1d ago · 75× | 25% ±38 | 23% ±19 | 51% ±22 | 26% ±20 | 19 | 15% ±12 | 24% ±34 | 44% ±69 | 52% | 5.0d | 0.58% | 0.16% | 33 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH · 7D VAL | 6,578.62–6,586.86 (-1.0%) | 3.8 | 6.4% | 8h | 7.9d ago · 67× | 10% ±20 | 10% ±17 | 55% ±28 | 34% ±27 | 12 | 5% ±6 | 10% ±20 | 23% ±47 | 48% | 5.0d | 0.70% | 0.26% | 53 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,537.07 (-1.7%) | 6.7 | 1.8% | 2h | 7.9d ago · 58× | 7% ±18 | 29% ±27 | 36% ±28 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±4 | 6% ±17 | 13% ±38 | 16% | > 7d | 1.06% | 0.25% | 45 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 6,460.66 (-2.9%) | 11 | 7.5% | 12h | 6.0d ago · 48× | 8% ±21 | 33% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 2% ±5 | 7% ±19 | 26% ±61 | 46% | > 7d | 0.61% | 0.21% | 39 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,352.71 (-4.5%) | 18 | 0.1% | 12m | 7.2d ago · 41× | 5% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±4 | 5% ±13 | 17% ±42 | 20% | > 7d | — | — | 61 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.