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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-22 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,971 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,668.05–6,671.82 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 1.3% | 1h | 6.1d ago · 66× | 88% ±29 | 26% ±20 | 45% ±22 | 28% ±20 | 19 | 80% ±15 | 88% ±29 | 96% ±27 | 96% | 1h | 0.42% | 0.33% | 27 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,667.63 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 6,640.45 (-0.4%) | 1.5 | 3.6% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 53× | 33% ±46 | 26% ±22 | 42% ±24 | 32% ±23 | 16 | 29% ±19 | 33% ±46 | 42% | 48% | > 7d | 0.29% | 0.24% | 22 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,603.35–6,615.8 (-0.8%) | 2.9 | 5.1% | 6h | 1.2d ago · 63× | 14% ±27 | 37% ±24 | 37% ±24 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 8% ±9 | 14% ±27 | 24% ±59 | 50% | > 7d | 0.68% | 0.18% | 35 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 6,611.13–6,612.09 (-0.8%) | 3.1 | 7.7% | 10h | 6.0d ago · 75× | 19% ±31 | 30% ±21 | 38% ±22 | 32% ±21 | 19 | 9% ±9 | 19% ±31 | 29% ±63 | 47% | 6.9d | 0.59% | 0.23% | 34 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D POC | 6,585.94–6,588.56 (-1.2%) | 4.4 | 7.4% | 8h | 6.1d ago · 67× | 9% ±18 | 17% ±17 | 58% ±23 | 25% ±20 | 18 | 5% ±5 | 9% ±18 | 17% ±42 | 39% | > 7d | 0.76% | 0.13% | 59 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,547.32–6,575.34 (-1.4%) | 5.1 | 1.2% | 1h | 1.2d ago · 55× | 7% ±22 | 46% ±31 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 3% ±7 | 7% ±22 | 14% ±48 | 28% | > 7d | 0.73% | 0.04% | 27 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,568.01 (-1.5%) | 5.6 | 0.4% | 41m | 7.9d ago · 58× | 7% ±19 | 29% ±27 | 36% ±28 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±5 | 7% ±19 | 14% ±48 | 21% | > 7d | 1.06% | 0.25% | 41 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,472.63 (-2.9%) | 11 | 6.1% | 9h | 7.2d ago · 41× | 3% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±3 | 3% ±11 | 8% ±31 | 12% | > 7d | — | — | 58 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.