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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-22 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,691.99 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 0.5% | 37m | 7.9d ago · 49× | 94% ±26 | 30% ±22 | 30% ±22 | 40% ±23 | 17 | 84% ±17 | 95% ±25 | 95% | 95% | 1h | 0.27% | 0.47% | 17 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,691.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 6,675.42–6,678.73 (-0.2%) | 0.7 | 1.0% | 59m | 1.6d ago · 55× | 56% ±56 | 46% ±31 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 56% ±24 | 56% ±56 | 61% | 81% | 1h | 0.73% | 0.04% | 16 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 6,669.01 (-0.3%) | 1.2 | 1.9% | 2h | 13.9d ago · 40× | 61% ±55 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 50% ±25 | 61% ±55 | 67% | 78% | 3h | 0.35% | 0.05% | 16 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,648.33 (-0.6%) | 2.4 | 2.9% | 5h | 5.9d ago · 52× | 20% ±45 | 26% ±22 | 42% ±24 | 32% ±23 | 16 | 14% ±16 | 19% ±45 | 29% | 37% | > 7d | 0.29% | 0.24% | 19 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,599.2–6,615.77 (-1.1%) | 4.2 | 5.2% | 6h | 5.9d ago · 62× | 11% ±25 | 37% ±24 | 37% ±24 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 8% ±9 | 11% ±25 | 19% ±55 | 48% | > 7d | 0.68% | 0.18% | 35 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 6,608.19–6,611.56 (-1.2%) | 4.4 | 7.8% | 10h | 5.7d ago · 75× | 12% ±26 | 26% ±20 | 45% ±22 | 29% ±20 | 19 | 4% ±6 | 12% ±26 | 18% ±53 | 44% | 7.0d | 0.59% | 0.18% | 37 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,589.18 (-1.5%) | 5.7 | 7.1% | 8h | 7.6d ago · 67× | 7% ±15 | 13% ±19 | 60% ±28 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 3% ±4 | 7% ±15 | 16% ±36 | 42% ±68 | > 7d | 1.01% | 0.20% | 67 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,568.73 (-1.8%) | 6.8 | 0.5% | 43m | 7.6d ago · 58× | 6% ±17 | 29% ±27 | 36% ±28 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±4 | 6% ±17 | 12% ±37 | 15% | > 7d | 1.06% | 0.25% | 47 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,473.26 (-3.3%) | 12 | 6.1% | 9h | 6.9d ago · 41× | 3% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±10 | 10% ±30 | 13% ±47 | > 7d | — | — | 68 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.