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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-23 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,699.52 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 1.1% | 2h | 7.9d ago · 49× | 83% ±37 | 30% ±22 | 30% ±22 | 40% ±23 | 17 | 76% ±17 | 84% ±36 | 96% | 96% | 1h | 0.27% | 0.47% | 23 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,692.21 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 6,675.79–6,682.57 (-0.1%) | 0.6 | 0.9% | 53m | 1.6d ago · 55× | 60% ±68 | 46% ±31 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 56% ±26 | 56% ±69 | 56% | 75% | 1h | 0.73% | 0.04% | 14 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 6,673.55 (-0.3%) | 1.1 | 1.3% | 1h | 13.9d ago · 40× | 68% ±53 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 55% ±23 | 66% ±53 | 66% | 78% | 3h | 0.35% | 0.05% | 18 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,655.01 (-0.6%) | 2.2 | 1.6% | 3h | 5.8d ago · 52× | 19% ±44 | 26% ±22 | 42% ±24 | 32% ±23 | 16 | 13% ±14 | 18% ±37 | 27% | 34% | > 7d | 0.29% | 0.24% | 21 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,601.23–6,614.79 (-1.2%) | 4.7 | 5.2% | 7h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 9% ±25 | 37% ±24 | 37% ±24 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 6% ±8 | 8% ±22 | 23% ±59 | 53% | 7.0d | 0.68% | 0.18% | 34 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 6,608.27–6,611.86 (-1.2%) | 4.8 | 7.0% | 9h | 5.8d ago · 75× | 10% ±29 | 23% ±19 | 51% ±22 | 26% ±20 | 19 | 5% ±9 | 9% ±28 | 19% | 44% | > 7d | 0.58% | 0.16% | 26 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 6,585.98 (-1.6%) | 6.4 | 6.3% | 8h | 5.6d ago · 48× | 13% ±27 | 33% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 3% ±5 | 13% ±27 | 20% ±56 | 49% | > 7d | 0.61% | 0.21% | 38 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,576.15 (-1.7%) | 7.0 | 1.3% | 1h | 7.6d ago · 58× | 6% ±16 | 29% ±27 | 36% ±28 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±4 | 6% ±16 | 12% ±37 | 16% | > 7d | 1.06% | 0.25% | 50 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,551.15 (-2.1%) | 8.5 | 0.4% | 1h | 7.6d ago · 67× | 8% ±21 | 13% ±19 | 60% ±28 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 5% ±7 | 7% ±19 | 18% ±53 | 42% | > 7d | 1.01% | 0.20% | 39 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,475.82 (-3.2%) | 13 | 5.9% | 9h | 6.9d ago · 41× | 3% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±9 | 12% ±32 | 15% ±49 | > 7d | — | — | 74 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.