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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-23 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,699.52 (+0.5%) | 2.8 | 0.8% | 1h | 5.7d ago · 71× | 43% ±43 | 23% ±17 | 40% ±20 | 37% ±19 | 24 | 12% ±12 | 43% ±43 | 74% ±61 | 95% | 1.2d | 0.28% | 0.36% | 29 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 6,668.35 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 1.5% | 1h | 5.8d ago · 66× | 85% ±31 | 22% ±18 | 57% ±22 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 79% ±14 | 85% ±31 | 91% ±40 | 94% | 1h | 0.43% | 0.22% | 31 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,663.83 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 6,634.98 (-0.4%) | 2.3 | 2.6% | 3h | 7.8d ago · 75× | 22% ±33 | 27% ±20 | 45% ±22 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 14% ±11 | 22% ±33 | 38% ±67 | 51% | 5.9d | 0.57% | 0.24% | 35 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,626.82 (-0.6%) | 2.9 | 0.6% | 30m | 7.6d ago · 67× | 11% ±23 | 13% ±19 | 60% ±28 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 7% ±7 | 11% ±23 | 24% ±60 | 42% | > 7d | 1.01% | 0.20% | 43 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,601.23–6,614.79 (-0.7%) | 3.9 | 3.9% | 5h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 11% ±25 | 37% ±24 | 37% ±24 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 8% ±9 | 10% ±24 | 16% ±51 | 46% | > 7d | 0.68% | 0.18% | 37 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 6,610.87 (-0.8%) | 4.2 | 5.5% | 8h | 5.8d ago · 63× | 11% ±30 | 19% ±18 | 57% ±23 | 24% ±20 | 18 | 3% ±7 | 10% ±27 | 14% ±48 | 32% | > 7d | 0.59% | 0.08% | 28 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 6,585.98 (-1.2%) | 6.2 | 4.8% | 6h | 5.7d ago · 48× | 12% ±24 | 33% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 2% ±5 | 12% ±24 | 19% ±55 | 50% | > 7d | 0.61% | 0.21% | 41 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,547–6,574.11 (-1.3%) | 7.1 | 0.5% | 34m | 1.6d ago · 55× | 8% ±27 | 46% ±31 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 8% ±12 | 8% ±27 | 8% | 17% | > 7d | 0.73% | 0.04% | 22 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,567.03 (-1.5%) | 7.7 | 0.2% | 25m | 7.6d ago · 58× | 6% ±15 | 29% ±27 | 36% ±28 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±4 | 5% ±15 | 11% ±36 | 15% | > 7d | 1.06% | 0.25% | 54 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,475.82 (-2.8%) | 15 | 4.4% | 7h | 6.9d ago · 41× | 4% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±4 | 4% ±11 | 14% ±34 | 17% ±53 | > 7d | — | — | 70 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 6,663.83 | 6,610.87 | 6,686.58 | expired | +0.37% |