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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-10-02 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,971 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,720.8 (+0.1%) | 0.6 | 0.5% | 42m | 8.2d ago · 49× | 75% ±42 | 29% ±21 | 29% ±21 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 70% ±17 | 77% ±37 | 90% ±42 | 93% | 1h | 0.25% | 0.44% | 28 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,711.55 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 6,697.77 (-0.2%) | 0.9 | 2.2% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 53× | 62% ±43 | 24% ±20 | 38% ±22 | 38% ±22 | 18 | 56% ±17 | 61% ±39 | 70% ±63 | 79% | 2h | 0.24% | 0.32% | 34 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,687.38–6,694.8 (-0.2%) | 1.0 | 3.1% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 63× | 67% ±35 | 33% ±22 | 38% ±22 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 52% ±15 | 64% ±36 | 75% ±60 | 88% | 3h | 0.59% | 0.22% | 42 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 6,689.63 (-0.3%) | 1.4 | 3.7% | 5h | 14.2d ago · 40× | 61% ±48 | 13% ±19 | 53% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 12 | 42% ±21 | 60% ±48 | 64% | 73% | 23h | 0.30% | 0.10% | 22 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 6,661.16 (-0.8%) | 3.2 | 5.0% | 8h | 8.1d ago · 75× | 21% ±33 | 29% ±19 | 42% ±21 | 29% ±19 | 21 | 10% ±10 | 21% ±32 | 39% ±68 | 66% | 5.9d | 0.57% | 0.24% | 37 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 6,638.38 (-1.1%) | 4.6 | 6.1% | 9h | 6.1d ago · 63× | 10% ±26 | 25% ±19 | 50% ±21 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 3% ±6 | 10% ±26 | 27% ±61 | 55% | 7.0d | 0.58% | 0.08% | 29 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,627.8 (-1.2%) | 5.2 | 2.1% | 3h | 7.9d ago · 58× | 8% ±18 | 33% ±27 | 33% ±27 | 33% ±27 | 12 | 2% ±4 | 7% ±17 | 19% ±44 | 29% | > 7d | 1.08% | 0.23% | 52 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D POC | 6,607.53–6,608.27 (-1.5%) | 6.5 | 7.7% | 12h | 6.0d ago · 67× | 10% ±18 | 26% ±23 | 41% ±26 | 32% ±25 | 14 | 3% ±4 | 10% ±17 | 22% ±41 | 49% ±69 | 7.0d | 0.73% | 0.21% | 65 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 6,546.26–6,572.26 (-2.1%) | 8.7 | 0.7% | 59m | 1.2d ago · 55× | 15% ±35 | 47% ±28 | 27% ±25 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 7% ±10 | 14% ±34 | 22% | 35% | > 7d | 0.73% | 0.07% | 26 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,568.54 (-2.1%) | 8.9 | 0.4% | 45m | 7.2d ago · 41× | 3% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±10 | 3% ±17 | 6% ±34 | > 7d | — | — | 65 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.