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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-10-01 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,705.82 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 0.2% | 16m | 7.9d ago · 49× | 90% ±33 | 29% ±21 | 29% ±21 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 82% ±17 | 91% ±33 | 91% | 91% | 1h | 0.25% | 0.44% | 20 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,704.43 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,685.11–6,695.46 (-0.1%) | 0.5 | 3.3% | 5h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 81% ±34 | 33% ±22 | 38% ±22 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 68% ±16 | 78% ±37 | 85% ±49 | 85% | 1h | 0.59% | 0.22% | 32 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,690.35–6,694.89 (-0.1%) | 0.6 | 3.6% | 5h | 5.8d ago · 52× | 73% ±39 | 20% ±18 | 44% ±23 | 36% ±22 | 18 | 64% ±17 | 74% ±39 | 79% ±56 | 87% | 1h | 0.27% | 0.23% | 29 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,650.91–6,658.69 (-0.7%) | 2.7 | 6.1% | 9h | 5.8d ago · 75× | 18% ±31 | 27% ±19 | 46% ±21 | 27% ±19 | 21 | 8% ±9 | 18% ±31 | 37% ±67 | 58% | 6.4d | 0.58% | 0.16% | 38 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 6,626.59–6,628.48 (-1.1%) | 4.5 | 2.6% | 3h | 7.6d ago · 67× | 10% ±18 | 22% ±22 | 47% ±26 | 31% ±24 | 14 | 3% ±4 | 10% ±18 | 16% ±36 | 41% ±68 | > 7d | 0.93% | 0.21% | 68 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 6,607.43 (-1.4%) | 5.8 | 8.0% | 12h | 5.6d ago · 48× | 14% ±24 | 41% ±26 | 24% ±22 | 35% ±25 | 14 | 2% ±4 | 14% ±24 | 28% ±51 | 53% | 7.0d | 0.67% | 0.21% | 49 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,547.01–6,571.18 (-2.0%) | 8.0 | 0.7% | 56m | 1.6d ago · 55× | 14% ±30 | 47% ±28 | 27% ±25 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 6% ±9 | 13% ±30 | 21% ±56 | 33% | > 7d | 0.73% | 0.07% | 29 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,543.56 (-2.4%) | 9.6 | 1.1% | 2h | 6.9d ago · 41× | 3% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±9 | 6% ±23 | 9% ±39 | > 7d | — | — | 69 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 6,704.43 | 6,772.73 | 6,658.69 | expired | +0.09% |