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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-10-01 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,690.62–6,699.52 (+0.1%) | 0.5 | 3.4% | 5h | 5.8d ago · 66× | 77% ±34 | 28% ±18 | 43% ±20 | 30% ±19 | 23 | 65% ±15 | 77% ±34 | 90% ±41 | 94% | 1h | 0.42% | 0.30% | 38 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,680.81 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 6,677.83 (-0.0%) | 0.2 | 2.6% | 4h | 5.8d ago · 52× | 91% ±28 | 24% ±20 | 38% ±22 | 38% ±22 | 18 | 83% ±16 | 91% ±28 | 91% | 91% | 1h | 0.24% | 0.32% | 21 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,628.34–6,665.63 (-0.2%) | 0.8 | 3.8% | 6h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 72% ±36 | 33% ±22 | 38% ±22 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 56% ±16 | 69% ±34 | 81% ±54 | 89% | 2h | 0.59% | 0.22% | 39 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,654.27–6,658.91 (-0.3%) | 1.2 | 6.8% | 10h | 5.8d ago · 75× | 46% ±37 | 24% ±19 | 48% ±22 | 28% ±20 | 20 | 33% ±14 | 47% ±37 | 68% ±65 | 73% | 1.1d | 0.56% | 0.16% | 41 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 6,621.69–6,626.82 (-0.8%) | 3.0 | 2.2% | 3h | 7.6d ago · 67× | 15% ±23 | 22% ±22 | 47% ±26 | 31% ±24 | 14 | 8% ±7 | 14% ±23 | 23% ±47 | 41% | 7.0d | 0.93% | 0.21% | 52 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 6,606.31 (-1.1%) | 4.1 | 8.6% | 12h | 5.6d ago · 48× | 18% ±30 | 41% ±26 | 24% ±22 | 35% ±25 | 14 | 2% ±5 | 17% ±28 | 30% ±63 | 54% | 7.0d | 0.67% | 0.21% | 40 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,547–6,570.72 (-1.6%) | 6.1 | 0.7% | 58m | 1.6d ago · 55× | 12% ±29 | 47% ±28 | 27% ±25 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 3% ±6 | 12% ±26 | 21% ±56 | 35% | > 7d | 0.73% | 0.07% | 33 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,540.22 (-2.1%) | 7.7 | 1.6% | 3h | 6.8d ago · 41× | 4% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±3 | 3% ±11 | 3% ±20 | 7% | > 7d | — | — | 57 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 6,680.81 | 6,654.27 | 6,702.1 | stop | -0.46% |