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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-10-06 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 6,728.99 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 6,726.7 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 1.0% | 2h | 6.0d ago · 52× | 93% ±25 | 29% ±19 | 38% ±21 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 82% ±15 | 93% ±25 | 93% | 93% | 1h | 0.27% | 0.25% | 26 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 6,714.54–6,717.36 (-0.2%) | 0.8 | 4.3% | 5h | 8.0d ago · 75× | 65% ±33 | 24% ±18 | 47% ±21 | 29% ±19 | 22 | 53% ±14 | 65% ±33 | 76% ±48 | 80% | 15h | 0.45% | 0.17% | 47 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,713.38–6,716.06 (-0.2%) | 0.8 | 4.6% | 5h | 6.0d ago · 62× | 67% ±35 | 35% ±21 | 39% ±21 | 26% ±19 | 20 | 54% ±15 | 67% ±35 | 76% ±59 | 83% | 2h | 0.59% | 0.18% | 44 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 6,694.63 (-0.5%) | 2.2 | 3.9% | 6h | 14.9d ago · 30× | 20% ±55 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 20% ±22 | 20% ±55 | 40% | 60% | 5.0d | 0.34% | 0.30% | 13 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAL | 6,657.48–6,659.14 (-1.0%) | 4.5 | 5.9% | 9h | 6.0d ago · 67× | 8% ±16 | 20% ±17 | 54% ±21 | 27% ±19 | 21 | 3% ±4 | 8% ±16 | 20% ±39 | 49% ±69 | 7.0d | 0.67% | 0.13% | 70 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,627.35 (-1.5%) | 6.6 | 2.0% | 3h | 7.8d ago · 58× | 7% ±15 | 33% ±27 | 33% ±27 | 33% ±27 | 12 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±15 | 17% ±42 | 24% | > 7d | 1.08% | 0.23% | 58 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 6,607.6 (-1.8%) | 7.8 | 8.0% | 11h | 5.8d ago · 48× | 11% ±20 | 41% ±26 | 24% ±22 | 35% ±25 | 14 | 2% ±3 | 11% ±20 | 30% ±52 | 50% | 7.0d | 0.67% | 0.21% | 55 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,576.81 (-2.3%) | 9.8 | 1.5% | 2h | 7.0d ago · 41× | 3% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±9 | 6% ±24 | 9% ±40 | > 7d | — | — | 75 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 6,541.99–6,576.81 (-2.3%) | 9.8 | 1.5% | 2h | 1.8d ago · 55× | 11% ±31 | 47% ±28 | 27% ±25 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 7% ±10 | 11% ±31 | 19% | 23% | > 7d | 0.73% | 0.07% | 25 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 6,728.99 | 6,798.21 | 6,717.36 | expired | +0.11% |