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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-10-06 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 6,746.48 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 1.3% | 2h | 5.8d ago · 71× | 89% ±25 | 17% ±14 | 47% ±19 | 37% ±18 | 27 | 81% ±13 | 89% ±25 | 95% ±31 | 97% | 1h | 0.29% | 0.33% | 35 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,745.02 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 6,726.77–6,734.8 (-0.2%) | 0.7 | 1.2% | 2h | 1.8d ago · 55× | 62% ±55 | 47% ±28 | 27% ±25 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 57% ±22 | 62% ±55 | 67% | 86% | 1h | 0.73% | 0.07% | 19 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 6,717.36–6,718.17 (-0.4%) | 1.9 | 3.6% | 5h | 8.0d ago · 75× | 36% ±35 | 24% ±18 | 47% ±21 | 29% ±19 | 22 | 22% ±13 | 36% ±35 | 50% ±69 | 65% | 3.6d | 0.45% | 0.17% | 39 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,713.38–6,716.06 (-0.4%) | 2.1 | 4.1% | 5h | 6.0d ago · 62× | 26% ±39 | 35% ±21 | 39% ±21 | 26% ±19 | 20 | 15% ±12 | 26% ±39 | 41% ±68 | 62% | 6.9d | 0.59% | 0.18% | 32 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 6,697.31 (-0.7%) | 3.4 | 2.8% | 4h | 14.9d ago · 30× | 11% ±31 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 7% ±10 | 11% ±30 | 26% | 70% | 5.9d | 0.34% | 0.30% | 26 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,678.36 (-1.0%) | 4.8 | 2.4% | 3h | 7.8d ago · 67× | 8% ±14 | 12% ±17 | 59% ±26 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 3% ±4 | 8% ±14 | 15% ±35 | 43% ±69 | > 7d | 0.80% | 0.20% | 77 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 6,659.14 (-1.3%) | 6.1 | 5.3% | 8h | 6.0d ago · 63× | 9% ±22 | 25% ±19 | 50% ±21 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 2% ±5 | 9% ±21 | 28% ±62 | 58% | 6.9d | 0.58% | 0.08% | 42 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,625.53 (-1.8%) | 8.5 | 1.3% | 2h | 7.8d ago · 58× | 7% ±15 | 33% ±27 | 33% ±27 | 33% ±27 | 12 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±15 | 16% ±42 | 23% | > 7d | 1.08% | 0.23% | 60 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 6,607.6 (-2.0%) | 9.8 | 7.1% | 10h | 5.8d ago · 48× | 9% ±19 | 41% ±26 | 24% ±22 | 35% ±25 | 14 | 2% ±3 | 9% ±19 | 27% ±50 | 47% | > 7d | 0.67% | 0.21% | 55 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,576.81 (-2.5%) | 12 | 1.3% | 2h | 7.0d ago · 41× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±7 | 8% ±24 | 10% ±42 | > 7d | — | — | 88 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.