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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-10-07 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 6,743.14 (+0.1%) | 0.5 | 3.6% | 5h | 5.7d ago · 71× | 80% ±29 | 17% ±14 | 47% ±19 | 37% ±18 | 27 | 70% ±13 | 81% ±27 | 91% ±32 | 98% | 1h | 0.29% | 0.33% | 45 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,736.69 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 6,727.35–6,732.78 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 1.0% | 2h | 1.6d ago · 55× | 85% ±50 | 47% ±28 | 27% ±25 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 71% ±26 | 86% ±48 | 86% | 93% | 1h | 0.73% | 0.07% | 12 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 6,717.61–6,722.99 (-0.2%) | 1.0 | 1.8% | 3h | 7.9d ago · 75× | 55% ±37 | 24% ±18 | 47% ±21 | 29% ±19 | 22 | 38% ±14 | 53% ±37 | 65% ±66 | 76% | 18h | 0.45% | 0.17% | 44 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,713.78–6,716.49 (-0.3%) | 1.5 | 3.8% | 5h | 5.9d ago · 62× | 50% ±37 | 35% ±21 | 39% ±21 | 26% ±19 | 20 | 34% ±14 | 48% ±37 | 58% ±68 | 69% | 1.0d | 0.59% | 0.18% | 42 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 6,705.64 (-0.5%) | 2.3 | 1.6% | 2h | 14.8d ago · 30× | 25% ±60 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 17% ±18 | 22% ±47 | 42% | 62% | 5.0d | 0.34% | 0.30% | 16 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,678.45 (-0.9%) | 4.3 | 2.3% | 3h | 7.6d ago · 67× | 10% ±18 | 12% ±17 | 59% ±26 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 4% ±5 | 10% ±17 | 20% ±39 | 42% ±68 | > 7d | 0.80% | 0.20% | 69 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 6,659.08 (-1.2%) | 5.7 | 5.1% | 8h | 5.9d ago · 63× | 10% ±22 | 25% ±19 | 50% ±21 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 2% ±5 | 9% ±21 | 28% ±62 | 57% | 6.9d | 0.58% | 0.08% | 42 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,624.8 (-1.7%) | 8.2 | 1.2% | 2h | 7.6d ago · 58× | 6% ±15 | 33% ±27 | 33% ±27 | 33% ±27 | 12 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±14 | 16% ±36 | 22% ±58 | > 7d | 1.08% | 0.23% | 63 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 6,612 (-1.9%) | 9.2 | 6.6% | 10h | 5.7d ago · 48× | 11% ±20 | 41% ±26 | 24% ±22 | 35% ±25 | 14 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±19 | 28% ±51 | 48% | > 7d | 0.67% | 0.21% | 57 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,578.07 (-2.4%) | 12 | 1.7% | 2h | 6.9d ago · 41× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±8 | 8% ±24 | 11% ±43 | > 7d | — | — | 84 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 6,736.69 | 6,717.61 | 6,754.79 | target | -0.09% |