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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-10-07 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,745.56–6,750.78 (+0.5%) | 2.2 | 3.2% | 5h | 5.6d ago · 71× | 42% ±39 | 21% ±15 | 49% ±19 | 30% ±17 | 27 | 12% ±11 | 42% ±39 | 64% ±67 | 95% | 1.2d | 0.35% | 0.27% | 37 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,730.06–6,732.78 (+0.2%) | 1.1 | 1.3% | 3h | 21.7d ago · 30× | 77% ±58 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 38% ±29 | 77% ±58 | 92% | 92% | 21h | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 6,718.36 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 4.1% | 5h | 5.9d ago · 51× | 95% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 28% ±23 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 76% ±19 | 95% ±24 | 95% | 95% | 1h | 0.17% | 0.45% | 19 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,713.47 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 30D VAH | 6,711.06–6,712.64 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 4.2% | 5h | 7.8d ago · 75× | 81% ±34 | 20% ±17 | 47% ±21 | 32% ±20 | 22 | 69% ±17 | 81% ±34 | 88% ±46 | 90% | 1h | 0.47% | 0.26% | 28 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,699.81 (-0.2%) | 0.9 | 2.3% | 3h | 7.6d ago · 67× | 75% ±42 | 12% ±17 | 59% ±26 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 71% ±17 | 75% ±42 | 79% | 82% | 1h | 0.80% | 0.20% | 26 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,632.36–6,662.21 (-0.8%) | 3.5 | 4.3% | 6h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 14% ±26 | 35% ±21 | 39% ±21 | 26% ±19 | 20 | 7% ±8 | 16% ±27 | 30% ±63 | 58% | 6.2d | 0.59% | 0.18% | 42 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,647.03 (-1.0%) | 4.6 | 4.9% | 8h | 7.6d ago · 58× | 9% ±19 | 33% ±27 | 33% ±27 | 33% ±27 | 12 | 2% ±4 | 9% ±19 | 9% ±32 | 22% | > 7d | 1.08% | 0.23% | 45 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 6,612 (-1.5%) | 7.0 | 6.8% | 10h | 5.6d ago · 48× | 13% ±24 | 41% ±26 | 24% ±22 | 35% ±25 | 14 | 2% ±4 | 13% ±22 | 25% ±49 | 50% | 7.0d | 0.67% | 0.21% | 52 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,578.07 (-2.0%) | 9.3 | 1.8% | 2h | 6.9d ago · 41× | 3% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±9 | 3% ±16 | 5% ±32 | > 7d | — | — | 74 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 6,534.65–6,575.36 (-2.1%) | 9.5 | 0.9% | 1h | 1.6d ago · 55× | 13% ±30 | 47% ±28 | 27% ±25 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 7% ±9 | 13% ±30 | 20% ±56 | 28% | > 7d | 0.73% | 0.07% | 28 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 6,713.47 | 6,745.56 | 6,699.81 | target | +0.59% |
| 30d | VAH | long | 6,713.47 | 6,846.46 | 6,612 | expired | +0.59% |