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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-10-08 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 6,750.78 (+0.1%) | 0.6 | 0.7% | 1h | 5.8d ago · 66× | 80% ±30 | 26% ±18 | 52% ±20 | 22% ±17 | 24 | 66% ±14 | 80% ±30 | 91% ±40 | 95% | 1h | 0.43% | 0.20% | 42 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,742.49 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 6,740.81 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 3.4% | 6h | 5.8d ago · 52× | 93% ±22 | 28% ±19 | 40% ±20 | 32% ±19 | 22 | 83% ±14 | 93% ±22 | 93% ±35 | 93% | 1h | 0.31% | 0.24% | 27 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,730.06–6,732.78 (-0.1%) | 0.7 | 1.2% | 3h | 1.6d ago · 55× | 62% ±55 | 47% ±28 | 27% ±25 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 57% ±21 | 65% ±47 | 70% | 87% | 1h | 0.73% | 0.07% | 21 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,708.35–6,719.21 (-0.3%) | 1.6 | 4.0% | 6h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 42% ±37 | 35% ±21 | 39% ±21 | 26% ±19 | 20 | 31% ±14 | 44% ±37 | 56% ±69 | 69% | 1.1d | 0.59% | 0.18% | 43 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D VAH | 6,711.06–6,713.07 (-0.4%) | 2.0 | 5.6% | 8h | 5.8d ago · 75× | 25% ±32 | 22% ±17 | 48% ±21 | 29% ±19 | 22 | 17% ±11 | 28% ±33 | 45% ±69 | 60% | 4.2d | 0.51% | 0.19% | 42 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,699.77 (-0.6%) | 3.0 | 2.3% | 3h | 7.6d ago · 67× | 13% ±24 | 12% ±17 | 59% ±26 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 8% ±7 | 13% ±22 | 27% ±50 | 48% | > 7d | 0.80% | 0.20% | 51 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,647.03 (-1.4%) | 6.6 | 4.7% | 8h | 7.6d ago · 58× | 6% ±15 | 33% ±27 | 33% ±27 | 33% ±27 | 12 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±15 | 16% ±42 | 23% | > 7d | 1.08% | 0.23% | 62 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 6,612 (-1.9%) | 9.1 | 6.6% | 10h | 5.7d ago · 48× | 10% ±19 | 41% ±26 | 24% ±22 | 35% ±25 | 14 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±19 | 27% ±50 | 47% | > 7d | 0.67% | 0.21% | 59 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,578.07 (-2.4%) | 11 | 1.8% | 2h | 6.9d ago · 41× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±8 | 7% ±23 | 10% ±41 | > 7d | — | — | 84 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 6,742.49 | 6,783.53 | 6,713.07 | expired | -0.10% |