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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-10-09 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 6,755.76–6,755.8 (+0.3%) | 1.5 | 1.4% | 2h | 5.6d ago · 71× | 55% ±40 | 22% ±15 | 48% ±19 | 29% ±17 | 28 | 28% ±14 | 56% ±37 | 73% ±61 | 95% | 23h | 0.36% | 0.25% | 39 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 6,742.09 (+0.1%) | 0.5 | 3.7% | 6h | 5.8d ago · 78× | 92% ±27 | 29% ±19 | 33% ±20 | 38% ±21 | 21 | 80% ±16 | 92% ±27 | 96% | 96% | 1h | 0.26% | 0.35% | 23 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,735.89 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,710.24–6,718.66 (-0.3%) | 1.3 | 3.7% | 5h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 54% ±37 | 33% ±20 | 38% ±21 | 29% ±19 | 21 | 38% ±14 | 53% ±35 | 64% ±54 | 76% | 22h | 0.55% | 0.18% | 45 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAH · 14D POC | 6,712.04–6,715.73 (-0.3%) | 1.5 | 5.2% | 7h | 5.8d ago · 67× | 40% ±43 | 19% ±17 | 52% ±21 | 29% ±19 | 21 | 32% ±17 | 39% ±43 | 54% ±69 | 65% | 2.5d | 0.60% | 0.15% | 29 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,656.66 (-1.2%) | 6.1 | 4.8% | 8h | 7.6d ago · 58× | 6% ±15 | 33% ±27 | 33% ±27 | 33% ±27 | 12 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±14 | 16% ±36 | 23% ±58 | > 7d | 1.08% | 0.23% | 63 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 6,607.88 (-1.9%) | 9.8 | 6.3% | 10h | 5.6d ago · 48× | 8% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 24% ±22 | 35% ±25 | 14 | 2% ±3 | 8% ±17 | 25% ±49 | 44% | > 7d | 0.67% | 0.21% | 60 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,578.43 (-2.3%) | 12 | 1.7% | 2h | 6.8d ago · 41× | 2% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±7 | 8% ±23 | 10% ±41 | > 7d | — | — | 93 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 6,541.97–6,575.63 (-2.4%) | 12 | 0.7% | 1h | 1.6d ago · 55× | 17% ±42 | 44% ±27 | 25% ±24 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 11% ±15 | 16% ±42 | 22% | 28% | > 7d | 0.65% | 0.07% | 17 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 6,735.89 | 6,715.73 | 6,755.8 | stop | -0.18% |