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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-10-09 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 6,755.76–6,755.9 (+0.6%) | 2.8 | 1.3% | 2h | 5.7d ago · 71× | 39% ±36 | 22% ±15 | 50% ±18 | 28% ±16 | 29 | 9% ±9 | 39% ±36 | 63% ±67 | 95% | 1.5d | 0.34% | 0.23% | 41 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 6,742.23 (+0.4%) | 1.8 | 3.9% | 6h | 5.9d ago · 78× | 60% ±55 | 29% ±19 | 33% ±20 | 38% ±21 | 21 | 30% ±21 | 60% ±55 | 90% | 95% | 21h | 0.26% | 0.35% | 18 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,719.67 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 3.5% | 5h | 6.8d ago · 49× | building | building | building | building | building | 7 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| at post · 6,718.46 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 30D VAH | 6,711.76–6,712.04 (-0.1%) | 0.5 | 5.1% | 7h | 5.8d ago · 63× | 85% ±29 | 20% ±17 | 50% ±21 | 30% ±20 | 21 | 76% ±14 | 85% ±29 | 90% ±42 | 91% | 1h | 0.50% | 0.15% | 35 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,634.1–6,662.58 (-0.8%) | 4.3 | 3.5% | 6h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 11% ±23 | 33% ±20 | 38% ±21 | 29% ±19 | 21 | 7% ±7 | 13% ±25 | 28% ±63 | 53% | 7.0d | 0.55% | 0.18% | 44 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,662.49 (-0.8%) | 4.3 | 3.6% | 6h | 7.6d ago · 58× | 13% ±23 | 33% ±27 | 33% ±27 | 33% ±27 | 12 | 4% ±6 | 13% ±23 | 13% ±38 | 24% | > 7d | 1.08% | 0.23% | 46 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 6,612.1 (-1.6%) | 8.1 | 5.8% | 9h | 5.7d ago · 48× | 8% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 24% ±22 | 35% ±25 | 14 | 2% ±3 | 8% ±17 | 28% ±51 | 47% | > 7d | 0.67% | 0.21% | 61 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,577.16 (-2.1%) | 11 | 1.2% | 2h | 6.9d ago · 41× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±8 | 6% ±21 | 8% ±39 | > 7d | — | — | 85 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 6,540.92–6,577.16 (-2.1%) | 11 | 1.2% | 2h | 1.6d ago · 55× | 11% ±31 | 44% ±27 | 25% ±24 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 7% ±10 | 10% ±27 | 14% ±48 | 18% | > 7d | 0.65% | 0.07% | 27 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 6,718.46 | 6,712.99 | 6,742.23 | stop | +1.46% |