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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-10-10 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,755.37–6,757 (+2.0%) | 6.4 | 2.6% | 5h | 5.7d ago · 71× | 11% ±36 | 22% ±15 | 50% ±18 | 28% ±16 | 29 | 6% ±11 | 11% ±36 | 66% | 86% | 2.4d | 0.34% | 0.23% | 16 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 6,739.87 (+1.8%) | 5.7 | 5.7% | 10h | 5.9d ago · 78× | building | 32% ±19 | 32% ±19 | 36% ±20 | 22 | building | building | building | building | — | 0.33% | 0.34% | 8 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 6,709.15–6,716.21 (+1.3%) | 4.2 | 5.9% | 9h | 5.9d ago · 51× | 27% ±39 | 29% ±20 | 29% ±20 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 4% ±7 | 27% ±39 | 66% ±66 | 89% | 2.0d | 0.19% | 0.47% | 32 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,681.95 (+0.9%) | 2.9 | 3.6% | 4h | 6.8d ago · 44× | building | building | building | building | building | 7 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 6,632.52–6,662.18 (+0.2%) | 0.6 | 6.1% | 9h | 5.9d ago · 65× | 76% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 59% ±25 | 76% ±48 | 94% | 94% | 1h | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| at post · 6,620.11 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,600.38–6,615.22 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 7.0% | 10h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 80% ±32 | 33% ±20 | 38% ±21 | 29% ±19 | 21 | 71% ±15 | 80% ±32 | 86% ±48 | 89% | 1h | 0.55% | 0.18% | 33 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 6,611.51 (-0.1%) | 0.4 | 9.4% | 15h | 5.7d ago · 48× | 58% ±48 | 41% ±26 | 24% ±22 | 35% ±25 | 14 | 46% ±21 | 58% ±48 | 58% | 58% | 22h | 0.67% | 0.21% | 22 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,578.14 (-0.6%) | 2.0 | 3.0% | 4h | 6.9d ago · 41× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,528.7–6,575.67 (-0.7%) | 2.1 | 1.7% | 2h | 1.6d ago · 55× | 26% ±39 | 41% ±26 | 24% ±22 | 35% ±25 | 14 | 18% ±13 | 26% ±39 | 44% ±69 | 76% | 3.9d | 0.55% | 0.14% | 32 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.