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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-10-13 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D POC · 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,749.7–6,757.15 (+1.8%) | 4.5 | 7.2% | 11h | 5.6d ago · 78× | 26% ±38 | 26% ±16 | 44% ±18 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 5% ±8 | 26% ±38 | 60% ±68 | 90% | 2.7d | 0.37% | 0.26% | 31 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAH · 14D POC | 6,710.34–6,717.79 (+1.2%) | 3.0 | 9.0% | 11h | 5.8d ago · 51× | 36% ±38 | 29% ±20 | 29% ±20 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 9% ±9 | 36% ±38 | 75% ±60 | 90% | 1.9d | 0.19% | 0.47% | 36 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,680.56 (+0.7%) | 1.9 | 4.8% | 6h | 6.8d ago · 44× | building | building | building | building | building | 7 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 6,633.75–6,661.41 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 9.1% | 12h | 5.8d ago · 65× | 86% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 79% ±23 | 86% ±48 | 93% | 93% | 1h | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| at post · 6,631.74 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 6,623.11–6,625.24 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 4.2% | 6h | 1.5d ago · 55× | 88% ±46 | 39% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 69% ±24 | 88% ±46 | 88% | 94% | 1h | 0.44% | 0.21% | 14 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,601.84–6,616.73 (-0.2%) | 0.6 | 8.6% | 12h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 74% ±32 | 35% ±19 | 35% ±19 | 31% ±19 | 23 | 65% ±15 | 74% ±32 | 84% ±51 | 86% | 1h | 0.55% | 0.25% | 41 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 6,611.41 (-0.3%) | 0.8 | 12.8% | 18h | 5.6d ago · 48× | 59% ±48 | 39% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 48% ±20 | 59% ±48 | 59% | 59% | 22h | 0.61% | 0.23% | 25 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,593.33 (-0.6%) | 1.5 | 3.9% | 5h | 6.8d ago · 41× | 24% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 24% ±21 | 24% ±48 | 24% | 24% | > 7d | — | — | 15 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 6,631.74 | 6,611.41 | 6,571.88 | target | -0.16% |