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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-10-14 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,971 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 7D POC · 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,746.51–6,757.15 (+1.9%) | 3.9 | 9.4% | 15h | 6.0d ago · 78× | 29% ±36 | 26% ±16 | 41% ±18 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 5% ±7 | 28% ±36 | 61% ±68 | 90% | 2.3d | 0.34% | 0.30% | 35 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 6,717.79 (+1.5%) | 3.0 | 11.3% | 16h | 6.2d ago · 51× | 39% ±55 | 32% ±23 | 26% ±22 | 42% ±24 | 16 | 5% ±10 | 36% ±54 | 83% | 95% | 1.9d | 0.15% | 0.46% | 18 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,682.68 (+0.9%) | 1.9 | 6.2% | 8h | 7.2d ago · 44× | building | building | building | building | building | 7 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| 30D POC · 7D VAL | 6,653.96–6,655.03 (+0.5%) | 1.0 | 15.9% | 1.0d | 6.2d ago · 49× | 76% ±49 | 21% ±24 | 21% ±24 | 57% ±29 | 11 | 53% ±25 | 76% ±49 | 93% | 93% | 10h | 0.24% | 0.54% | 15 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,633.75–6,663.54 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 10.6% | 15h | 6.2d ago · 65× | 82% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 67% ±23 | 83% ±42 | 94% | 94% | 1h | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,627.37 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 6.7% | 9h | 7.2d ago · 32× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 1 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,623.11–6,625.24 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 5.9% | 8h | 22.1d ago · 30× | building | building | building | building | building | 7 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| at post · 6,621.04 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,601.84–6,616.73 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 10.2% | 15h | 1.2d ago · 63× | 82% ±33 | 35% ±19 | 35% ±19 | 31% ±19 | 23 | 77% ±14 | 83% ±30 | 89% ±44 | 91% | 1h | 0.55% | 0.25% | 33 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | short | 6,621.04 | 6,611.41 | 6,653.96 | stop | -1.47% |