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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-10-14 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D POC · 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,749.7–6,757.15 (+1.1%) | 2.2 | 8.0% | 13h | 5.4d ago · 78× | 47% ±37 | 26% ±16 | 44% ±18 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 13% ±10 | 47% ±37 | 69% ±64 | 95% | 1.1d | 0.37% | 0.26% | 40 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D POC | 6,710.34–6,717.79 (+0.5%) | 1.0 | 10.6% | 14h | 5.6d ago · 51× | 76% ±34 | 29% ±20 | 29% ±20 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 56% ±17 | 76% ±34 | 93% ±35 | 95% | 3h | 0.19% | 0.47% | 34 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,710.34–6,718.85 (+0.5%) | 1.0 | 10.6% | 14h | 5.6d ago · 65× | 73% ±50 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 57% ±21 | 74% ±43 | 96% | 96% | 1h | 0.41% | 0.42% | 21 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,684.81 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 6.8% | 9h | 6.5d ago · 44× | building | building | building | building | building | 7 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| at post · 6,675.64 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,633.75–6,663.54 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 11.0% | 17h | 5.5d ago · 62× | 79% ±32 | 33% ±19 | 37% ±19 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 73% ±14 | 80% ±32 | 85% ±49 | 87% | 1h | 0.59% | 0.26% | 38 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAL | 6,648.64–6,653.96 (-0.3%) | 0.6 | 16.5% | 1.1d | 5.4d ago · 67× | 71% ±40 | 30% ±22 | 38% ±24 | 32% ±23 | 16 | 62% ±18 | 72% ±39 | 72% ±62 | 74% | 11h | 0.69% | 0.21% | 28 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,623.11–6,625.24 (-0.8%) | 1.5 | 7.1% | 10h | 1.3d ago · 55× | 40% ±39 | 37% ±24 | 21% ±20 | 42% ±24 | 16 | 25% ±15 | 42% ±39 | 53% ±69 | 83% | 2.1d | 0.55% | 0.23% | 34 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,595.46 (-1.2%) | 2.4 | 6.3% | 10h | 6.6d ago · 41× | 23% ±58 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 20% ±22 | 33% ±65 | 33% | 33% | > 7d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 6,675.64 | 6,749.7 | 6,629.11 | stop | -0.67% |