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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-10-15 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D POC · 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,749.7–6,757.15 (+0.5%) | 0.8 | 8.4% | 14h | 5.7d ago · 78× | 78% ±26 | 26% ±16 | 44% ±18 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 59% ±13 | 78% ±26 | 90% ±34 | 97% | 1h | 0.37% | 0.26% | 58 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,718.61 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 30D VAH | 6,710.34–6,717.79 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 12.0% | 18h | 5.8d ago · 63× | 90% ±26 | 22% ±17 | 48% ±21 | 31% ±19 | 22 | 79% ±15 | 90% ±26 | 92% ±37 | 94% | 1h | 0.55% | 0.17% | 30 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,701.83–6,703.96 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 8.1% | 12h | 1.6d ago · 55× | 83% ±42 | 37% ±24 | 21% ±20 | 42% ±24 | 16 | 63% ±23 | 84% ±41 | 84% | 95% | 1h | 0.55% | 0.23% | 17 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,682.68 (-0.5%) | 1.0 | 7.6% | 11h | 7.6d ago · 58× | 58% ±48 | 31% ±25 | 31% ±25 | 38% ±26 | 13 | 54% ±20 | 58% ±48 | 58% | 69% | 3h | 1.06% | 0.25% | 24 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,631.62–6,663.54 (-0.8%) | 1.5 | 12.9% | 20h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 55% ±34 | 33% ±19 | 37% ±19 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 38% ±13 | 56% ±34 | 67% ±53 | 77% | 22h | 0.59% | 0.26% | 50 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAL | 6,646.52–6,653.96 (-1.0%) | 1.7 | 17.8% | 1.2d | 5.7d ago · 67× | 36% ±47 | 30% ±22 | 38% ±24 | 32% ±23 | 16 | 22% ±17 | 39% ±48 | 46% | 48% | 5.0d | 0.69% | 0.21% | 23 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,595.46 (-1.8%) | 3.3 | 7.0% | 11h | 6.9d ago · 41× | 15% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 14% ±15 | 18% ±44 | 18% | 18% | > 7d | — | — | 20 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 6,718.61 | 6,749.7 | 6,626.6 | stop | -0.40% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 6,718.61 | 6,717.79 | 6,669.28 | target | -0.40% |
| 30d | VAH | long | 6,718.61 | 6,833.49 | 6,653.96 | stop | -0.40% |