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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-10-15 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D POC · 7D VAH · 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,717.79–6,757.15 (+1.3%) | 2.1 | 13.1% | 20h | 5.4d ago · 71× | 41% ±36 | 26% ±16 | 41% ±18 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 11% ±10 | 41% ±36 | 70% ±64 | 94% | 1.6d | 0.31% | 0.32% | 42 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D VAL | 6,653.96–6,674.17 (+0.4%) | 0.6 | 19.2% | 1.3d | 5.6d ago · 78× | 88% ±32 | 28% ±19 | 28% ±19 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 74% ±17 | 88% ±29 | 95% ±30 | 95% | 1h | 0.32% | 0.42% | 27 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,631.62–6,663.54 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 12.6% | 18h | 5.6d ago · 65× | 88% ±46 | 29% ±27 | 21% ±24 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 81% ±20 | 88% ±46 | 94% | 94% | 1h | 0.38% | 0.42% | 14 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,630.73 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 6,620.99 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 9.2% | 13h | 6.6d ago · 41× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 6,601.84–6,614.6 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 12.6% | 18h | 5.5d ago · 62× | 79% ±30 | 36% ±19 | 36% ±19 | 29% ±18 | 25 | 70% ±14 | 79% ±30 | 86% ±48 | 88% | 1h | 0.63% | 0.25% | 41 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,599.71 (-0.5%) | 0.8 | 11.4% | 17h | 7.3d ago · 67× | 79% ±36 | 21% ±20 | 53% ±24 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 77% ±16 | 80% ±35 | 80% ±55 | 83% | 1h | 0.76% | 0.20% | 28 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 6,630.73 | 6,599.71 | 6,729.49 | expired | -0.41% |
| 14d | VAL | short | 6,630.73 | 6,547.76 | 6,717.79 | expired | -0.41% |
| 30d | POC | short | 6,630.73 | 6,620.99 | 6,740.13 | target | -0.41% |