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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-10-16 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 6,757.15 (+1.0%) | 1.8 | 3.7% | 7h | 5.7d ago · 66× | 42% ±40 | 28% ±17 | 52% ±19 | 21% ±16 | 26 | 18% ±12 | 41% ±39 | 55% ±69 | 92% | 2.0d | 0.47% | 0.19% | 37 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 6,738 (+0.7%) | 1.3 | 9.0% | 15h | 7.7d ago · 49× | 68% ±41 | 26% ±19 | 30% ±20 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 47% ±18 | 69% ±41 | 91% ±40 | 94% | 21h | 0.22% | 0.48% | 30 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,710.34–6,720.98 (+0.3%) | 0.5 | 11.6% | 16h | 5.7d ago · 65× | 80% ±45 | 29% ±27 | 21% ±24 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 64% ±21 | 82% ±44 | 95% | 95% | 1h | 0.38% | 0.42% | 20 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D POC | 6,709.49–6,717.79 (+0.3%) | 0.5 | 11.3% | 16h | 5.5d ago · 71× | 85% ±25 | 25% ±15 | 39% ±17 | 36% ±17 | 30 | 68% ±13 | 84% ±25 | 93% ±29 | 97% | 1h | 0.25% | 0.33% | 48 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,691.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 7D POC · 30D POC | 6,653.96–6,667.79 (-0.4%) | 0.7 | 12.0% | 18h | 5.5d ago · 75× | 61% ±32 | 34% ±19 | 32% ±19 | 34% ±19 | 24 | 52% ±13 | 62% ±32 | 70% ±52 | 74% | 17h | 0.69% | 0.24% | 53 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,631.62–6,665.66 (-0.4%) | 0.7 | 13.0% | 20h | 5.7d ago · 62× | 71% ±31 | 36% ±19 | 36% ±19 | 29% ±18 | 25 | 59% ±13 | 71% ±30 | 82% ±43 | 86% | 1h | 0.63% | 0.25% | 52 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,627.37 (-1.0%) | 1.8 | 8.3% | 12h | 6.7d ago · 41× | 42% ±68 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 25% ±27 | 42% ±68 | 42% | 42% | > 7d | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,618.86–6,620.99 (-1.1%) | 2.0 | 6.1% | 9h | 1.5d ago · 55× | 33% ±38 | 40% ±23 | 20% ±19 | 40% ±23 | 17 | 26% ±14 | 33% ±38 | 49% ±69 | 79% | 3.9d | 0.65% | 0.21% | 37 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,599.45 (-1.4%) | 2.6 | 8.8% | 13h | 7.5d ago · 67× | 23% ±31 | 25% ±21 | 50% ±24 | 25% ±21 | 17 | 16% ±11 | 24% ±32 | 40% ±68 | 58% | 6.0d | 0.83% | 0.25% | 43 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 6,691.6 | 6,717.79 | 6,651.71 | stop | -0.70% |