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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-10-16 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 6,757.15 (+1.5%) | 3.0 | 3.3% | 6h | 5.7d ago · 66× | 37% ±33 | 28% ±17 | 52% ±19 | 21% ±16 | 26 | 8% ±8 | 36% ±33 | 64% ±54 | 96% | 1.2d | 0.47% | 0.19% | 49 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 30D VAH | 6,717.79–6,731.62 (+0.9%) | 1.8 | 11.7% | 17h | 5.7d ago · 51× | 39% ±36 | 32% ±20 | 27% ±19 | 41% ±21 | 21 | 13% ±10 | 39% ±36 | 81% ±55 | 91% | 1.7d | 0.20% | 0.46% | 42 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,710.34–6,720.98 (+0.8%) | 1.6 | 11.2% | 15h | 5.7d ago · 65× | 60% ±55 | 29% ±27 | 21% ±24 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 25% ±20 | 60% ±55 | 95% | 95% | 1.0d | 0.38% | 0.42% | 18 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,688.33 (+0.5%) | 0.9 | 8.3% | 12h | 5.5d ago · 71× | 76% ±28 | 21% ±15 | 45% ±18 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 61% ±13 | 76% ±26 | 91% ±33 | 98% | 1h | 0.30% | 0.26% | 57 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAL | 6,659.76–6,663.54 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 16.0% | 1.0d | 5.7d ago · 78× | 89% ±31 | 32% ±19 | 32% ±19 | 36% ±20 | 22 | 79% ±17 | 89% ±30 | 95% | 95% | 1h | 0.33% | 0.34% | 23 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,657.68 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 6,653.96 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 17.9% | 1.2d | 5.5d ago · 48× | 61% ±48 | 40% ±23 | 25% ±21 | 35% ±23 | 17 | 54% ±21 | 63% ±47 | 63% | 63% | 3h | 0.72% | 0.25% | 22 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 6,612.15–6,627.37 (-0.5%) | 0.9 | 7.9% | 12h | 6.7d ago · 67× | 48% ±49 | 25% ±21 | 50% ±24 | 25% ±21 | 17 | 46% ±18 | 50% ±44 | 55% ±69 | 57% | 3h | 0.83% | 0.25% | 28 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,618.86–6,620.99 (-0.6%) | 1.1 | 5.6% | 9h | 1.5d ago · 55× | 59% ±43 | 40% ±23 | 20% ±19 | 40% ±23 | 17 | 46% ±17 | 60% ±39 | 66% ±66 | 89% | 21h | 0.65% | 0.21% | 33 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | long | 6,657.68 | 6,731.62 | 6,627.37 | stop | -0.36% |