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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-10-17 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D POC · 14D VAH | 6,749.7–6,757.15 (+1.6%) | 2.8 | 8.5% | 14h | 5.8d ago · 66× | 38% ±34 | 31% ±18 | 41% ±19 | 28% ±17 | 26 | 7% ±7 | 38% ±34 | 70% ±52 | 95% | 1.3d | 0.35% | 0.29% | 49 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 6,725.23 (+1.2%) | 2.1 | 9.8% | 16h | 7.9d ago · 49× | 33% ±35 | 29% ±19 | 29% ±19 | 42% ±21 | 21 | 14% ±10 | 32% ±35 | 77% ±58 | 93% | 2.0d | 0.23% | 0.47% | 42 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,710.34–6,720.98 (+1.0%) | 1.7 | 12.2% | 17h | 5.9d ago · 65× | 63% ±55 | 27% ±25 | 20% ±23 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 20% ±18 | 62% ±55 | 95% | 95% | 1.0d | 0.41% | 0.47% | 18 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,680.44 (+0.5%) | 0.9 | 9.4% | 14h | 5.7d ago · 71× | 76% ±28 | 21% ±15 | 45% ±18 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 60% ±13 | 75% ±27 | 90% ±34 | 98% | 1h | 0.30% | 0.26% | 58 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAL · 7D POC | 6,653.96–6,659.17 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 19.8% | 1.3d | 5.9d ago · 78× | 91% ±28 | 26% ±18 | 31% ±19 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 81% ±15 | 91% ±28 | 93% | 93% | 1h | 0.39% | 0.44% | 26 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,645.01 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 6,615.61–6,620.99 (-0.4%) | 0.6 | 7.3% | 11h | 6.9d ago · 67× | 62% ±43 | 25% ±21 | 50% ±24 | 25% ±21 | 17 | 59% ±18 | 63% ±42 | 65% ±66 | 67% | 1h | 0.83% | 0.25% | 30 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 6,645.01 | 6,659.17 | 6,603.94 | stop | +0.27% |
| 30d | VAL | long | 6,645.01 | 6,653.96 | 6,602.22 | target | +0.27% |