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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-10-20 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D POC · 14D VAH | 6,749.7–6,757.15 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 8.8% | 14h | 5.8d ago · 66× | 87% ±25 | 32% ±18 | 40% ±19 | 28% ±17 | 26 | 72% ±13 | 86% ±25 | 91% ±40 | 95% | 1h | 0.35% | 0.26% | 44 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,746.51–6,748.64 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 10.6% | 17h | 5.8d ago · 65× | 89% ±35 | 27% ±25 | 20% ±23 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 80% ±18 | 90% ±34 | 95% | 95% | 1h | 0.41% | 0.47% | 18 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,738.75 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 6,725.23 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 11.2% | 17h | 14.7d ago · 30× | 86% ±40 | 17% ±19 | 44% ±25 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 73% ±20 | 86% ±39 | 86% | 91% | 1h | 0.37% | 0.33% | 20 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,710.34–6,720.98 (-0.3%) | 0.5 | 13.1% | 19h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 81% ±27 | 33% ±18 | 33% ±18 | 33% ±18 | 27 | 69% ±13 | 82% ±27 | 88% ±37 | 90% | 1h | 0.63% | 0.27% | 47 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH · 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAL | 6,648.64–6,680.48 (-0.9%) | 1.7 | 9.7% | 13h | 5.6d ago · 75× | 27% ±33 | 30% ±18 | 35% ±19 | 35% ±19 | 25 | 17% ±11 | 27% ±33 | 39% ±68 | 52% | 2.6d | 0.56% | 0.32% | 42 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,618.86–6,620.58 (-1.8%) | 3.4 | 7.2% | 10h | 6.8d ago · 67× | 17% ±22 | 24% ±20 | 52% ±23 | 24% ±20 | 18 | 11% ±8 | 16% ±22 | 29% ±44 | 45% ±69 | 7.0d | 0.86% | 0.26% | 65 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.