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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-10-21 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 6,757.15 (+0.4%) | 1.0 | 3.0% | 5h | 5.8d ago · 66× | 72% ±28 | 28% ±17 | 52% ±19 | 21% ±16 | 26 | 54% ±13 | 70% ±28 | 81% ±45 | 93% | 4h | 0.47% | 0.19% | 61 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 6,734.81 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 10.4% | 17h | 5.9d ago · 51× | 96% ±20 | 38% ±22 | 24% ±20 | 38% ±22 | 18 | 80% ±16 | 96% ±19 | 96% | 96% | 1h | 0.17% | 0.35% | 23 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,733.74–6,746.51 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 10.0% | 17h | 5.9d ago · 65× | 89% ±35 | 27% ±25 | 20% ±23 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 81% ±18 | 90% ±33 | 95% | 95% | 1h | 0.41% | 0.47% | 19 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,728.69 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 6,727.36 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 8.6% | 15h | 14.8d ago · 30× | 86% ±40 | 17% ±19 | 44% ±25 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 70% ±20 | 87% ±33 | 87% | 91% | 1h | 0.37% | 0.33% | 21 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,710.34–6,720.98 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 10.5% | 16h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 83% ±28 | 33% ±18 | 33% ±18 | 33% ±18 | 27 | 72% ±14 | 84% ±27 | 88% ±44 | 91% | 1h | 0.63% | 0.27% | 41 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH · 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAL | 6,648.64–6,681.2 (-0.7%) | 1.6 | 7.8% | 10h | 5.7d ago · 75× | 26% ±33 | 30% ±18 | 35% ±19 | 35% ±19 | 25 | 15% ±11 | 25% ±30 | 36% ±54 | 49% | 3.7d | 0.56% | 0.32% | 45 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 6,606.02–6,618.86 (-1.6%) | 3.7 | 5.8% | 8h | 6.9d ago · 67× | 12% ±18 | 24% ±20 | 52% ±23 | 24% ±20 | 18 | 7% ±6 | 12% ±18 | 23% ±41 | 41% ±68 | > 7d | 0.86% | 0.26% | 74 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.