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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-10-21 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 6,757.15 (+0.3%) | 0.7 | 3.0% | 5h | 5.6d ago · 66× | 78% ±27 | 28% ±17 | 52% ±19 | 21% ±16 | 26 | 61% ±13 | 79% ±27 | 89% ±35 | 96% | 1h | 0.47% | 0.19% | 54 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,738.02 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 6,720.53–6,736.94 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 12.0% | 19h | 5.6d ago · 63× | 82% ±28 | 23% ±17 | 45% ±20 | 32% ±19 | 23 | 71% ±14 | 83% ±28 | 87% ±47 | 91% | 1h | 0.44% | 0.20% | 39 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,710.34–6,720.98 (-0.3%) | 0.6 | 10.2% | 16h | 5.6d ago · 62× | 78% ±29 | 32% ±17 | 35% ±18 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 66% ±13 | 79% ±26 | 87% ±38 | 89% | 1h | 0.59% | 0.26% | 51 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAL | 6,648.64–6,667.54 (-1.0%) | 2.4 | 9.9% | 15h | 5.4d ago · 75× | 22% ±29 | 31% ±18 | 32% ±18 | 37% ±19 | 25 | 10% ±9 | 21% ±28 | 31% ±52 | 44% | 4.9d | 0.64% | 0.34% | 48 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,618.86 (-1.8%) | 4.1 | 5.5% | 8h | 6.6d ago · 41× | 8% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 4% ±7 | 8% ±26 | 16% | 16% | > 7d | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 6,603.48 (-2.0%) | 4.6 | 4.8% | 7h | 7.4d ago · 67× | 9% ±15 | 24% ±20 | 52% ±23 | 24% ±20 | 18 | 4% ±4 | 9% ±15 | 20% ±39 | 49% ±69 | > 7d | 0.86% | 0.26% | 80 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.