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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-10-31 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 6,905.93 (+1.3%) | 3.6 | 4.7% | 6h | 5.4d ago · 71× | 29% ±36 | 22% ±14 | 44% ±17 | 33% ±16 | 33 | 8% ±8 | 28% ±36 | 42% ±68 | 84% | 4.0d | 0.29% | 0.26% | 38 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,853.82–6,868.6 (+0.5%) | 1.4 | 4.6% | 7h | 5.6d ago · 65× | 62% ±43 | 28% ±23 | 22% ±21 | 50% ±25 | 15 | 38% ±18 | 62% ±43 | 93% ±35 | 97% | 1.0d | 0.38% | 0.42% | 27 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 7D POC · 14D VAH | 6,848.28–6,862.26 (+0.4%) | 1.2 | 2.1% | 4h | 5.6d ago · 78× | 56% ±37 | 28% ±17 | 43% ±18 | 28% ±17 | 28 | 32% ±14 | 56% ±37 | 75% ±60 | 95% | 18h | 0.41% | 0.27% | 44 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,819.57 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 6,761.43–6,787.3 (-0.5%) | 1.3 | 0.7% | 1h | 1.4d ago · 55× | 50% ±40 | 39% ±21 | 22% ±18 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 40% ±15 | 53% ±37 | 63% ±67 | 86% | 23h | 0.55% | 0.23% | 41 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 6,757.73 (-0.9%) | 2.6 | 1.8% | 4h | 14.5d ago · 30× | 25% ±38 | 15% ±17 | 50% ±24 | 35% ±23 | 17 | 19% ±14 | 25% ±38 | 44% ±69 | 75% | 4.9d | 0.37% | 0.33% | 30 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,698.6–6,754.04 (-1.0%) | 2.7 | 4.2% | 7h | 5.6d ago · 62× | 27% ±29 | 35% ±17 | 32% ±16 | 32% ±16 | 31 | 12% ±9 | 27% ±29 | 43% ±56 | 59% | 6.2d | 0.63% | 0.25% | 54 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 6,738.85–6,741.1 (-1.2%) | 3.2 | 13.8% | 22h | 5.4d ago · 63× | 15% ±25 | 30% ±18 | 35% ±19 | 35% ±19 | 24 | 5% ±6 | 15% ±25 | 34% ±54 | 49% | 6.9d | 0.61% | 0.20% | 48 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,629.96 (-2.8%) | 7.8 | 3.4% | 5h | 7.4d ago · 58× | 8% ±14 | 32% ±23 | 26% ±22 | 42% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±4 | 8% ±14 | 20% ±40 | 31% ±64 | > 7d | 0.96% | 0.36% | 77 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,606.21 (-3.1%) | 8.8 | 1.4% | 2h | 6.6d ago · 41× | 4% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±10 | 8% ±24 | 16% ±50 | > 7d | — | — | 85 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 6,819.57 | 6,738.85 | 6,904.08 | expired | -0.30% |