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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-03 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 6,891.7 (+1.0%) | 2.4 | 2.7% | 3h | 5.6d ago · 71× | 43% ±34 | 22% ±14 | 44% ±17 | 33% ±16 | 33 | 13% ±10 | 43% ±34 | 62% ±55 | 95% | 1.2d | 0.29% | 0.26% | 45 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 6,861.47–6,864.76 (+0.5%) | 1.3 | 8.1% | 11h | 5.8d ago · 78× | 62% ±34 | 29% ±17 | 44% ±18 | 27% ±16 | 29 | 43% ±14 | 62% ±34 | 80% ±45 | 96% | 15h | 0.48% | 0.26% | 49 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,850.12–6,868.6 (+0.4%) | 0.9 | 5.0% | 7h | 5.8d ago · 65× | 78% ±33 | 26% ±22 | 26% ±22 | 47% ±24 | 16 | 64% ±16 | 78% ±33 | 94% ±32 | 97% | 1h | 0.41% | 0.42% | 34 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,825.34 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 6,824.87 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 1.7% | 2h | 7.6d ago · 67× | 83% ±33 | 26% ±19 | 48% ±22 | 26% ±19 | 20 | 83% ±14 | 83% ±33 | 86% ±48 | 90% | 1h | 0.86% | 0.26% | 27 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,809.47–6,820.56 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 1.2% | 1h | 1.6d ago · 55× | 88% ±32 | 38% ±21 | 25% ±19 | 38% ±21 | 21 | 71% ±19 | 88% ±32 | 92% | 96% | 1h | 0.61% | 0.21% | 22 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 6,805.78 (-0.3%) | 0.7 | 3.0% | 4h | 14.7d ago · 30× | 79% ±36 | 15% ±17 | 50% ±24 | 35% ±23 | 17 | 66% ±18 | 79% ±36 | 83% ±52 | 86% | 1h | 0.37% | 0.33% | 27 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,706–6,754.04 (-1.0%) | 2.5 | 5.3% | 8h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 30% ±30 | 34% ±16 | 31% ±16 | 34% ±16 | 32 | 15% ±10 | 30% ±30 | 45% ±56 | 57% | 6.9d | 0.59% | 0.26% | 51 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 6,739.05–6,741.1 (-1.2%) | 3.0 | 15.3% | 22h | 5.6d ago · 63× | 17% ±28 | 30% ±18 | 35% ±19 | 35% ±19 | 24 | 7% ±8 | 17% ±28 | 35% ±66 | 49% | 6.9d | 0.61% | 0.20% | 44 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,655.69 (-2.5%) | 6.1 | 6.0% | 8h | 7.6d ago · 58× | 8% ±15 | 32% ±23 | 26% ±22 | 42% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±4 | 8% ±15 | 23% ±41 | 34% ±65 | > 7d | 0.96% | 0.36% | 73 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,550.78 (-4.0%) | 9.8 | 0.2% | 13m | 6.8d ago · 41× | 3% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±9 | 10% ±27 | 17% ±52 | > 7d | — | — | 94 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 6,825.34 | 6,739.05 | 6,902.4 | expired | +0.16% |