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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-04 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 6,915.05 (+1.5%) | 3.3 | 1.8% | 3h | 5.5d ago · 66× | 27% ±31 | 31% ±17 | 47% ±18 | 22% ±15 | 29 | 9% ±8 | 27% ±29 | 53% ±57 | 90% | 2.2d | 0.55% | 0.19% | 51 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,886.54 (+1.1%) | 2.3 | 2.9% | 4h | 5.4d ago · 71× | 43% ±34 | 22% ±14 | 44% ±17 | 33% ±16 | 33 | 12% ±9 | 41% ±34 | 61% ±55 | 95% | 1.9d | 0.29% | 0.26% | 48 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,853.51–6,855.5 (+0.6%) | 1.3 | 10.7% | 15h | 5.6d ago · 78× | 75% ±35 | 30% ±17 | 34% ±18 | 36% ±18 | 27 | 52% ±16 | 75% ±34 | 93% ±36 | 97% | 4h | 0.35% | 0.35% | 38 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,846.43–6,868.6 (+0.5%) | 1.0 | 7.0% | 9h | 5.6d ago · 65× | 77% ±34 | 26% ±22 | 26% ±22 | 47% ±24 | 16 | 62% ±16 | 77% ±34 | 94% ±32 | 97% | 2h | 0.41% | 0.42% | 35 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAH | 6,820.48–6,831.65 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 1.5% | 2h | 6.4d ago · 49× | 82% ±31 | 26% ±18 | 31% ±19 | 42% ±21 | 22 | 68% ±16 | 82% ±31 | 90% ±42 | 94% | 2h | 0.28% | 0.48% | 33 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,814.27 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 6,795.95 (-0.3%) | 0.6 | 3.0% | 5h | 7.3d ago · 58× | 77% ±47 | 32% ±23 | 26% ±22 | 42% ±24 | 16 | 73% ±20 | 77% ±47 | 77% | 86% | 1h | 0.96% | 0.36% | 20 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,761.43–6,787.3 (-0.4%) | 0.9 | 0.9% | 2h | 1.3d ago · 55× | 64% ±35 | 38% ±21 | 25% ±19 | 38% ±21 | 21 | 51% ±15 | 67% ±35 | 73% ±61 | 91% | 4h | 0.61% | 0.21% | 43 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,709.69–6,754.04 (-0.9%) | 1.9 | 5.7% | 10h | 5.5d ago · 62× | 38% ±36 | 34% ±16 | 31% ±16 | 34% ±16 | 32 | 22% ±12 | 37% ±36 | 50% ±69 | 62% | 3.0d | 0.59% | 0.26% | 44 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 6,741.1 (-1.1%) | 2.4 | 15.5% | 1.0d | 5.4d ago · 48× | 21% ±36 | 41% ±22 | 23% ±19 | 36% ±22 | 19 | 9% ±10 | 21% ±35 | 33% ±65 | 36% | > 7d | 0.72% | 0.25% | 32 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,550.78 (-3.9%) | 8.5 | 0.2% | 15m | 6.6d ago · 41× | 4% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±10 | 8% ±24 | 16% ±50 | > 7d | — | — | 84 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 6,814.27 | 6,748.21 | 6,853.51 | expired | +0.27% |
| 30d | VAH | short | 6,814.27 | 6,741.1 | 6,882.2 | expired | +0.27% |