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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-04 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 6,915.05 (+1.8%) | 4.2 | 1.6% | 2h | 5.5d ago · 66× | 24% ±32 | 31% ±17 | 47% ±18 | 22% ±15 | 29 | 4% ±6 | 23% ±31 | 54% ±69 | 88% | 2.9d | 0.55% | 0.19% | 43 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,892.69 (+1.5%) | 3.5 | 2.8% | 3h | 5.4d ago · 71× | 33% ±35 | 22% ±14 | 44% ±17 | 33% ±16 | 33 | 9% ±9 | 33% ±35 | 44% ±69 | 85% | 4.0d | 0.29% | 0.26% | 42 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,853.51–6,855.5 (+0.9%) | 2.1 | 10.1% | 14h | 5.6d ago · 78× | 54% ±49 | 30% ±17 | 34% ±18 | 36% ±18 | 27 | 18% ±15 | 55% ±49 | 86% | 96% | 1.4d | 0.35% | 0.35% | 24 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,846.43–6,868.6 (+0.8%) | 1.9 | 6.5% | 8h | 5.6d ago · 65× | 58% ±48 | 30% ±22 | 25% ±21 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 19% ±16 | 58% ±48 | 92% | 96% | 1.0d | 0.44% | 0.42% | 24 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 6,831.65 (+0.6%) | 1.4 | 2.7% | 3h | 7.6d ago · 49× | 55% ±37 | 28% ±19 | 28% ±19 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 30% ±14 | 54% ±37 | 83% ±52 | 95% | 1.0d | 0.22% | 0.48% | 41 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,813.17–6,820.56 (+0.3%) | 0.8 | 1.3% | 2h | 21.4d ago · 30× | 88% ±46 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 50% ±26 | 88% ±46 | 94% | 94% | 4h | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 6,798.6–6,812.8 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 4.2% | 7h | 6.5d ago · 49× | 91% ±40 | 18% ±23 | 45% ±29 | 37% ±29 | 11 | 76% ±22 | 91% ±33 | 94% | 94% | 1h | 0.42% | 0.50% | 15 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,790.52 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 6,757.73–6,787.3 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 1.2% | 2h | 1.3d ago · 55× | 88% ±32 | 36% ±20 | 24% ±18 | 40% ±20 | 22 | 69% ±18 | 88% ±31 | 92% | 96% | 1h | 0.62% | 0.23% | 24 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,709.69–6,754.04 (-0.5%) | 1.2 | 5.2% | 9h | 5.5d ago · 62× | 65% ±28 | 34% ±16 | 31% ±16 | 34% ±16 | 32 | 47% ±12 | 64% ±28 | 74% ±43 | 81% ±54 | 21h | 0.59% | 0.26% | 64 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 6,741.1 (-0.7%) | 1.7 | 14.8% | 23h | 5.4d ago · 48× | 45% ±44 | 41% ±22 | 23% ±19 | 36% ±22 | 19 | 24% ±16 | 44% ±44 | 55% ±69 | 55% | 2.0d | 0.72% | 0.25% | 28 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,550.78 (-3.5%) | 8.1 | 0.2% | 14m | 6.6d ago · 41× | 3% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±9 | 7% ±22 | 14% ±48 | > 7d | — | — | 87 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 6,790.52 | 6,674.07 | 6,855.5 | expired | -0.45% |