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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-05 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 6,912.4 (+1.3%) | 3.3 | 2.5% | 4h | 5.7d ago · 66× | 26% ±29 | 33% ±17 | 45% ±18 | 21% ±15 | 30 | 9% ±8 | 26% ±29 | 52% ±57 | 90% | 2.9d | 0.59% | 0.17% | 53 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,879.85 (+0.9%) | 2.1 | 3.1% | 4h | 5.5d ago · 71× | 41% ±34 | 22% ±14 | 44% ±17 | 33% ±16 | 33 | 14% ±10 | 41% ±34 | 56% ±56 | 95% | 1.9d | 0.29% | 0.26% | 49 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,853.99–6,855.5 (+0.5%) | 1.2 | 9.5% | 14h | 5.7d ago · 78× | 76% ±34 | 33% ±17 | 33% ±17 | 35% ±18 | 28 | 53% ±15 | 74% ±33 | 94% ±34 | 97% | 4h | 0.40% | 0.30% | 40 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,846.43–6,868.6 (+0.4%) | 0.9 | 5.9% | 8h | 5.7d ago · 65× | 75% ±35 | 30% ±22 | 25% ±21 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 60% ±15 | 72% ±33 | 94% ±33 | 98% | 2h | 0.44% | 0.42% | 40 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 6,824.25 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.1% | 3h | 7.7d ago · 49× | 89% ±31 | 28% ±19 | 28% ±19 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 79% ±16 | 89% ±30 | 89% | 89% | 1h | 0.22% | 0.48% | 26 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,821.18 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 6,813.17–6,820.56 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 1.9% | 2h | 1.5d ago · 55× | 86% ±39 | 36% ±20 | 24% ±18 | 40% ±20 | 22 | 66% ±19 | 88% ±32 | 92% | 96% | 1h | 0.62% | 0.23% | 24 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,801.25–6,805.96 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 4.1% | 6h | 7.5d ago · 67× | 76% ±34 | 27% ±19 | 41% ±21 | 32% ±20 | 21 | 70% ±15 | 76% ±34 | 77% ±58 | 83% | 1h | 0.84% | 0.32% | 37 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,709.69–6,754.04 (-1.0%) | 2.4 | 4.6% | 8h | 5.7d ago · 62× | 29% ±30 | 34% ±16 | 31% ±16 | 34% ±16 | 32 | 14% ±9 | 28% ±29 | 42% ±56 | 55% | 6.9d | 0.59% | 0.26% | 55 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 6,741.1 (-1.2%) | 2.9 | 12.3% | 20h | 5.5d ago · 48× | 19% ±29 | 41% ±22 | 23% ±19 | 36% ±22 | 19 | 7% ±8 | 19% ±29 | 29% ±63 | 38% | > 7d | 0.72% | 0.25% | 42 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,550.78 (-4.0%) | 9.7 | 0.2% | 13m | 6.7d ago · 41× | 3% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±8 | 10% ±24 | 16% ±51 | > 7d | — | — | 101 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 6,821.18 | 6,853.99 | 6,792.66 | stop | -1.54% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 6,821.18 | 6,855.5 | 6,781.24 | stop | -1.54% |